Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28555073›Full record

ReviewNature reviews. Microbiology2017

Pathways to zoonotic spillover.

Raina K Plowright, Colin R Parrish, Hamish McCallum, Peter J Hudson, Albert I Ko, Andrea L Graham, James O Lloyd-Smith

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature reviews. Microbiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 597 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
597citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

597 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Impacts of bat use of anthropogenic structures on bats and humans.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Pooled it
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  8. Review
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  17. CypA is a molecular barrier to HIV emergence from Eastern chimpanzees.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
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  19. Article
  20. Article

537 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Raina K PlowrightDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana 59717, USA.
Colin R ParrishBaker Institute for Animal Health, College of Veterinary Medicine, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853, USA.
Hamish McCallumGriffith School of Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, Queensland 4111, Australia.
Peter J HudsonCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, State College, Pennsylvania 16802, USA.
Albert I KoDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8034, USA.
Andrea L GrahamDepartment of Ecology &Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544, USA.
James O Lloyd-SmithDepartment of Ecology &Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California 90095-7239, USA; and at Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland 20892-2220, USA.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Research Core (Developmental Research Project Program)P20GM103474 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI MARK T QUINN · 2012 to 2026
$60.0M
Naturally-Acquired and Vaccine-Mediated Immunity to LeptospirosisR01AI121207 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KO, ALBERT ICKSANG, REIS, MITERMAYER GALVAO DOS · 2016 to 2020
$6.4M
Pilot Grants ProgramP30GM110732 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI QUINN, MARK T · 2014 to 2018
$5.4M
Translational Research Development for Endemic Infectious Diseases of AmazoniaD43TW007120 · FIC · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI VINETZ, JOSEPH M. · 2004 to 2020
$3.0M
Ecoepidemiology of leptospirosis in the urban slums of BrazilR01TW009504 · FIC · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI BEGON, MICHAEL, CHILDS, JAMES EMORY · 2012 to 2016
$2.2M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW007120FIC NIH HHS R01 TW009504NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI121207NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM103474NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM110732
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Zoonotic spillover, which is the transmission of a pathogen from a vertebrate animal to a human, presents a global public health burden but is a poorly understood phenomenon. Zoonotic spillover requires several factors to align, including the ecological, epidemiological and behavioural determinants of pathogen exposure, and the within-human factors that affect susceptibility to infection. In this Opinion article, we propose a synthetic framework for animal-to-human transmission that integrates the relevant mechanisms. This framework reveals that all zoonotic pathogens must overcome a hierarchical series of barriers to cause spillover infections in humans. Understanding how these barriers are functionally and quantitatively linked, and how they interact in space and time, will substantially improve our ability to predict or prevent spillover events. This work provides a foundation for transdisciplinary investigation of spillover and synthetic theory on zoonotic transmission.

Indexed as

Disease Transmission, InfectiousAnimalsAnimals, WildBacteriaBacterial InfectionsCommunicable Diseases, EmergingCost of IllnessDisease ReservoirsHumansPublic HealthVirus DiseasesVirusesZoonoses

Identifiers

PMID28555073
PMCPMC5791534

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.