ArticleMalaria journal2017
Effect of climatic variability on malaria trends in Baringo County, Kenya.
Article in Malaria journal, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers.
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36 citing papers in PubMed, 60 citations in OpenAlex.
- The Malaria Vaccine Implementation Programme reduced clinical malaria in Kenya, 2020 to 2022 : Impact evaluation with predictive time-series models of routine surveillance data.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Assessing the impact of climate and control interventions on spatio-temporal malaria dynamics using a stochastic metapopulation model.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Mapping mosquito diversity in Kenya correlating species distribution with malaria prevalence across varied climatic parameters.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Impact of invasive weed Parthenium hysterophorus (Asteraceae) on mosquito abundance and plant-feeding behavior in an arboviral endemic region in Kenya.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Modelling the effects of precipitation and temperature on malaria incidence in coastal and western Kenya.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Impact of Global Climate-Change on Ecology ofIranian journal of public health · 2025Review
- Effect of seasonal variability on the increased malaria positivity rate in drought-prone malaria endemic areas of Ethiopia.Journal of parasitic diseases : official organ of the Indian Society for Parasitology · 2024Article
- Forecasting malaria dynamics based on causal relations between control interventions, climatic factors, and disease incidence in western Kenya.Journal of global health · 2024Article
- The effects of climatic and non-climatic factors on malaria mortality at different spatial scales in western Kenya, 2008-2019.BMJ global health · 2024Article
- Abstruse Side of Climate Change, Impact on Malaria: A Systematic Evidence Review Comparing Iran versus Globally.Iranian journal of public health · 2024Review
- Evaluation of the malaria surveillance system - Adaklu District, Volta Region, Ghana, 2019.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2023Article
- Public health priorities for Sino-Africa cooperation in Eastern Africa in context of flooding and malaria burden in Children: a tridecadal retrospective analysis.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Malaria, climate variability, and interventions: modelling transmission dynamics.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- The relative effect of climate variability on malaria incidence after scale-up of interventions in western Kenya: A time-series analysis of monthly incidence data from 2008 to 2019.Parasite epidemiology and control · 2023Article
- Six decades of malaria vector control in southern Africa: a review of the entomological evidence-base.Malaria journal · 2022Review
- Forecasting Malaria Morbidity to 2036 Based on Geo-Climatic Factors in the Democratic Republic of Congo.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Distribution and Risk Factors of Malaria in the Greater Accra Region in Ghana.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Malaria epidemic and transmission foci in highland of Kisii, western Kenya.Parasite epidemiology and control · 2022Article
- Exploring predictive frameworks for malaria in Burundi.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- Risk associations of submicroscopic malaria infection in lakeshore, plateau and highland areas of Kisumu County in western Kenya.PloS one · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundMalaria transmission in arid and semi-arid regions of Kenya such as Baringo County, is seasonal and often influenced by climatic factors. Unravelling the relationship between climate variables and malaria transmission dynamics is therefore instrumental in developing effective malaria control strategies. The main aim of this study was to describe the effects of variability of rainfall, maximum temperature and vegetation indices on seasonal trends of malaria in selected health facilities within Baringo County, Kenya.
methodsClimate variables sourced from the International Research Institute (IRI)/Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO) climate database and malaria cases reported in 10 health facilities spread across four ecological zones (riverine, lowland, mid-altitude and highland) between 2004 and 2014 were subjected to a time series analysis. A negative binomial regression model with lagged climate variables was used to model long-term monthly malaria cases. The seasonal Mann-Kendall trend test was then used to detect overall monotonic trends in malaria cases.
resultsMalaria cases increased significantly in the highland and midland zones over the study period. Changes in malaria prevalence corresponded to variations in rainfall and maximum temperature. Rainfall at a time lag of 2 months resulted in an increase in malaria transmission across the four zones while an increase in temperature at time lags of 0 and 1 month resulted in an increase in malaria cases in the riverine and highland zones, respectively.
conclusionGiven the existence of a time lag between climatic variables more so rainfall and peak malaria transmission, appropriate control measures can be initiated at the onset of short and after long rains seasons.
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