Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28545021›Full record

ArticleOncotarget2017

Quantitative prediction of oral cancer risk in patients with oral leukoplakia.

Yao Liu, Yicheng Li, Yue Fu, Tong Liu, Xiaoyong Liu, Xinyan Zhang, Jie Fu, Xiaobing Guan, Tong Chen, Xiaoxin Chen and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Oncotarget, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Application of artificial intelligence in oral potentially malignant disorders: current opinions and future barriers.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Ploidy status analysis in small cell lung cancer cells and its use in cytopathological diagnosis.International journal of clinical and experimental pathology · 2025
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Machine Learning in Dentistry: A Scoping Review.Journal of clinical medicine · 2023
    Article
  15. Risk prediction models for head and neck cancer: A rapid review.Laryngoscope investigative otolaryngology · 2022
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. [DNA cytometry of exfoliated cells in the diagnosis of oral potential malignant disorders].Beijing da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Peking University. Health sciences · 2019
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Big Data in Head and Neck Cancer.Current treatment options in oncology · 2018
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Yao LiuDepartment of Oral Medicine, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yicheng LiCancer Research Program, Julius L. Chambers Biomedical Biotechnology Research Institute, North Carolina Central University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Yue FuDepartment of Oral Medicine, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Tong LiuDepartment of Oral Medicine, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Xiaoyong LiuDepartment of Pathology, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Xinyan ZhangBeijing Institute of Dental Research, School of Stomatology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Jie FuDepartment of Oral Medicine, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Xiaobing GuanDepartment of Oral Medicine, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Tong ChenDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Xiaoxin ChenCancer Research Program, Julius L. Chambers Biomedical Biotechnology Research Institute, North Carolina Central University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Zheng SunDepartment of Oral Medicine, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

Funding

Translational Therapeutics Research Program (TT)P30CA016058 · NCI · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI Tasleem J Padamsee · 1985 to 2026
$132.3M
Combinational Approaches to the Chemoprevention of Esophageal CancerR01CA131073 · NCI · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI CHEN, TONG · 2008 to 2012
$1.6M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016058NCI NIH HHS R01 CA131073
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Exfoliative cytology has been widely used for early diagnosis of oral squamous cell carcinoma. We have developed an oral cancer risk index using DNA index value to quantitatively assess cancer risk in patients with oral leukoplakia, but with limited success. In order to improve the performance of the risk index, we collected exfoliative cytology, histopathology, and clinical follow-up data from two independent cohorts of normal, leukoplakia and cancer subjects (training set and validation set). Peaks were defined on the basis of first derivatives with positives, and modern machine learning techniques were utilized to build statistical prediction models on the reconstructed data. Random forest was found to be the best model with high sensitivity (100%) and specificity (99.2%). Using the Peaks-Random Forest model, we constructed an index (OCRI2) as a quantitative measurement of cancer risk. Among 11 leukoplakia patients with an OCRI2 over 0.5, 4 (36.4%) developed cancer during follow-up (23 ± 20 months), whereas 3 (5.3%) of 57 leukoplakia patients with an OCRI2 less than 0.5 developed cancer (32 ± 31 months). OCRI2 is better than other methods in predicting oral squamous cell carcinoma during follow-up. In conclusion, we have developed an exfoliative cytology-based method for quantitative prediction of cancer risk in patients with oral leukoplakia.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overCarcinoma, Squamous CellCohort StudiesCytodiagnosisFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLeukoplakia, OralMaleMiddle AgedMouth NeoplasmsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRiskexfoliative cytologyoral cancer riskoral leukoplakiaoral squamous cell carcinomaquantitative prediction

Identifiers

PMID28545021
PMCPMC5542248

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.