ArticleIranian journal of public health2017
Modeling the Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases in Iran from 2005 to 2025: The Impact of Demographic Changes.
Article in Iranian journal of public health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 89 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
89 citing papers in PubMed, 151 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effects of a home-based palliative heart failure program on quality of life among the elderly: a clinical trial study.BMC palliative care · 2023Trial
- Comparison of the effectiveness of position change for patients with pain and vascular complications after transfemoral coronary angiography: a randomized clinical trial.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2021Trial
- Uric Acid and Uric Acid Index in Predicting Coronary Artery Disease, Cerebrovascular Events, and Mortality: A Sex-Stratified Cohort Study.Clinical cardiology · 2026Article
- Article
- Effective policies on prevention and control of cardiovascular diseases in different countries: A realistic review.Journal of education and health promotion · 2026Review
- The Association Between Height-Related Novel Anthropometric Indices and Cardiovascular Events: A Cross-Sectional Insight From the MASHAD Cohort Study.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Prevalence of Coronary Artery Diseases Among Adult Women Residents of Tehran: A Cross-Sectional Report From Tehran Cohort Study (TeCS).Cardiology research and practice · 2026Article
- The effect of combined basic CPR training on knowledge, attitude, and bystander intervention: A pilot study to address obstacles in CPR education.Journal of education and health promotion · 2026Article
- Evaluating Trends in Mortality and Years of Life Lost Due to Cardiovascular Diseases in the Southwest of Fars Province, 2013-2023: A Cross-Sectional Study.Health science reports · 2025Article
- The prevalence of secondhand smoke exposure and its association with chronic diseases and metabolic abnormalities: findings from the STEPS survey 2021.Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders · 2025Article
- Association between dietary quality index-international (DQI-I) and cardiovascular diseases: insights from RaNCD cohort study.BMC nutrition · 2025Article
- Catastrophic Health Expenditure and Its Determinants in Patients With Ischemic Heart Disease and Their Households: A Cross-Sectional Study From Iran in 2024.Health science reports · 2025Article
- Association Between Socio-Economic Status (SES) and the Traditional Risk Factors of Cardiovascular Diseases (CVD): A Cross-Sectional MASHAD Cohort Study Results.Health science reports · 2025Article
- Temporal trends in cardiovascular disease risk factors attributed burden in Iran, 1990-2021.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Assessing the association between dairy consumption and the 10-year Framingham Risk Score in women.BMC nutrition · 2025Article
- Loneliness and repetitive negative thinking mediate the link between social health and cardiac distress in heart disease patients.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Evaluation of the effectiveness of the Iran-package of essential non-communicable disease (IraPEN) program in reducing cardiovascular disease risk in pilot areas.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Comparing the power of obesity indices to predict cardiovascular diseases at different ages: An application of conditional time-dependent ROC curve in Healthy Heart Cohort of Yazd, Iran.ARYA atherosclerosis · 2025Article
- Evaluating the association of ischemic ECG changes and CBC parameters in normal population.ARYA atherosclerosis · 2025Article
- Article
29 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundEstimating the burden of non-communicable diseases particularly cardiovascular disease (CVD) is essential for health management and policymaking. In this paper, we used a regression model to estimate the future impact of demographic changes on the burden of CVD in Iran during the next two decades.
methodsDisability-adjusted life years (DALY) were used to estimate the future burden of CVD in Iran. A regression model was used to estimate DALY caused by CVD in the Iranian population aged 30-100 yr, stratified by age group and sex. The predicted population of Iranians aged ≥ 30 yr was entered into the model and DALY were calculated over 2005-2025. To assess the areas of uncertainty in the model, we did sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation.
resultsIn the year 2005, there were 847309 DALYs caused by CVD in Iranian adults aged ≥ 30 yr. This figure will nearly be 1728836 DALYs in 2025. In other words, just because of the aging, DALY related to CVD will increase more than two-fold in 2025 compared with 2005. The burden of CVD was higher in men (443235) than in women (404235) in 2005; but in 2025, the difference will be less (867639 vs. 861319).
conclusionThe burden of CVD will increase steeply in Iran over 2005-2025, mainly because of the aging population. Therefore, more attention is needed to deal with the impact of CVD in the following decades in Iran.
Indexed as
Identifiers
28540267PMC5439040W2734946768What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.