Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28536736›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2017

Is the association between hip fractures and seasonality modified by influenza vaccination? An ecological study.

M Fraenkel, M Yitshak-Sade, L Beacher, M Carmeli, M Mandelboim, E Siris, V Novack

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Incidence of proximal humerus fracture among older adults in Oslo, Norway varies by country background, marital status, and season.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
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  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. The Association of Cold Ambient Temperature With Fracture Risk and Mortality: National Data From Norway-A Norwegian Epidemiologic Osteoporosis Studies (NOREPOS) Study.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2022
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Influenza Illness and Hip Fracture Hospitalizations in Nursing Home Residents: Are They Related?The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

M FraenkelEndocrine Unit, Soroka University Medical Center, Beersheba, Israel. meravfra@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-9039-5565
M Yitshak-SadeSoroka University Medical Center and the Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beersheba, Israel.
L BeacherClinical Research Center, Soroka University Medical Center, Beersheba, Israel.
M CarmeliSoroka University Medical Center and the Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beersheba, Israel.
M MandelboimCentral Virology Laboratory, Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Ramat Gan, Israel.
E SirisDivision of Endocrinology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, USA.
V NovackSoroka University Medical Center and the Faculty of Health Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beersheba, Israel.
Ben-Gurion University of the Negev · ILColumbia University Irving Medical Center · USSoroka Medical Center · ILTel Aviv University · IL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Osteoporotic hip fractures in 4344 patients were more common during winter. Lower temperatures were associated with higher rates of fracture only in those not vaccinated for influenza. Influenza outbreaks increased the risk of hip fractures. Further studies are needed to assess whether influenza vaccination can prevent hip fractures.

introductionWinter seasonality of osteoporotic hip fracture incidence has been demonstrated, yet the explanation for the association is lacking. We hypothesize that the seasonality of osteoporotic hip fracture can be explained by an association between hip fractures and seasonal influenza outbreaks.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study included all patients admitted to Soroka University Medical Center with a diagnosis of osteoporotic hip fracture (ICD-9 code 820) between the years 2001 and 2013. Patients with malignancies, trauma, and age under 50 were excluded. In a time series analysis, we examined the association between hip fracture incidence and seasonality adjusted for meteorological factors, and population rates of influenza infection and vaccination using Poisson models.

resultsFour thousand three hundred forty-four patients with a hip fracture were included (69% females, mean age 78). Daily fracture rates were significantly higher in winter (1.1 fractures/day) compared to summer, fall, and spring (0.79, 0.90, and 0.91; p < 0.001). In analysis adjusted for seasons and spline function of time, temperatures were associated with hip fractures risk only in those not vaccinated for influenza (n = 2939, for every decrease of 5 °C, RR 1.08, CI 1.02-1.16; p < 0.05). In subgroup analysis during the years with weekly data on national influenza rates (2010-2013), the risk for hip fracture, adjusted for seasons and temperature, was 1.26 2 weeks following a week with high infection burden (CI 1.05;1.51 p = 0.01), while the temperature was not significantly associated with the fracture risk.

conclusionsUnder dry and warm desert climate, winter hip fracture incidence increase might be associated with influenza infection, and this effect can be negated by influenza vaccination.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overComorbidityDisease OutbreaksFemaleHip FracturesHumansIncidenceInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesIsraelMaleMiddle AgedOsteoporotic FracturesRetrospective StudiesSeasonsInfluenza VaccinesHip fractureMetrological parametersOsteoporosisSeasonalityVitamin D

Identifiers

PMID28536736
OpenAlexW2617470654

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.