ReviewGlobal health action
Producing HIV estimates: from global advocacy to country planning and impact measurement.
Review in Global health action. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- The AIDS Epidemic Model 2023 for Estimating HIV Trends and Transmission Dynamics in Asian Epidemic Settings.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2024Article
- Improved Indicators for Subnational Unmet Antiretroviral Therapy Need in the Health System: Updates to the Naomi Model in 2023.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2024Article
- Neurodevelopment among children exposed to HIV and uninfected in sub-Saharan Africa.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2023Article
- Estimating HIV incidence over a decade in Zimbabwe: A comparison of the catalytic and Farrington models.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- Article
- Progress towards 2020 global HIV impact and treatment targets.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2021Article
- Substandard and Falsified Medicines: Proposed Methods for Case Finding and Sentinel Surveillance.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2021Article
- Comparison of HIV Incidence in the Zimbabwe Population-Based HIV Impact Assessment Survey (2015-2016) with Modeled Estimates: Progress Toward Epidemic Control.AIDS research and human retroviruses · 2020Article
- Burden and changes in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Southern Africa Development Community Countries, 1990-2017.BMC public health · 2020Article
- Estimates of the global population of children who are HIV-exposed and uninfected, 2000-18: a modelling study.The Lancet. Global health · 2020Article
- HIV estimates through 2018: data for decision-making.AIDS (London, England) · 2019Article
- Simulation Modeling and Metamodeling to Inform National and International HIV Policies for Children and Adolescents.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2018Article
- A Lachnospiraceae-dominated bacterial signature in the fecal microbiota of HIV-infected individuals from Colombia, South America.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Therapeutic Antibody Discovery in Infectious Diseases Using Single-Cell Analysis.Advances in experimental medicine and biologyReview
- Bridging the data gaps: do we have the right balance between country data and global estimates?Global health actionArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe development of global HIV estimates has been critical for understanding, advocating for and funding the HIV response. The process of generating HIV estimates has been cited as the gold standard for public health estimates.
objectiveThis paper provides important lessons from an international scientific collaboration and provides a useful model for those producing public health estimates in other fields.
designThrough the compilation and review of published journal articles, United Nations reports, other documents and personal experience we compiled historical information about the estimates and identified potential lessons for other public health estimation efforts.
resultsThrough the development of core partnerships with country teams, implementers, demographers, mathematicians, epidemiologists and international organizations, UNAIDS has led a process to develop the capacity of country teams to produce internationally comparable HIV estimates. The guidance provided by these experts has led to refinements in the estimated numbers of people living with HIV, new HIV infections and AIDS-related deaths over the past 20 years. A number of important updates to the methods since 1997 resulted in fluctuations in the estimated levels, trends and impact of HIV. The largest correction occurred between the 2005 and 2007 rounds with the additions of household survey data into the models. In 2001 the UNAIDS models at that time estimated there were 40 million people living with HIV. In 2016, improved models estimate there were 30 million (27.6-32.7 million) people living with HIV in 2001.
conclusionsCountry ownership of the estimation tools has allowed for additional uses of the results than had the results been produced by researchers or a team in Geneva. Guidance from a reference group and input from country teams have led to critical improvements in the models over time. Those changes have improved countries' and stakeholders' understanding of the HIV epidemic.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.