ArticleInternational journal of public health2017
The effect of cigarette price increases on cigarette consumption, tax revenue, and smoking-related death in Africa from 1999 to 2013.
Article in International journal of public health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- The African cigarette price data landscape: an overview of gaps and opportunities.Tobacco control · 2026Article
- Making cigarette taxes more effective in Mozambique: A simulation analysis using the Tobacco Excise Tax Simulation Model (TETSiM).PloS one · 2026Article
- Better cigarette tax policies and higher tobacco excise tax revenues.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Cigarette prices and smoking among adults in eight sub-Saharan African countries: evidence from the Global Adult Tobacco Survey.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Increased serum cotinine and obesity negatively impact asthma exacerbations and hospitalizations: A cross-sectional analysis of NHANES.Journal of clinical and translational science · 2023Article
- Effect of cigarette prices on cigarette consumption in Ghana.Drug and alcohol dependence reports · 2022Article
- Article
- The potential distributional health and financial benefits of increased tobacco taxes in Ethiopia: Findings from a modeling study.SSM - population health · 2022Article
- Effect of relative income price on smoking initiation among adolescents in Ghana: evidence from pseudo-longitudinal data.BMJ open · 2022Article
- Article
- Estimating the price elasticity of demand for cigarettes in South Africa using the Deaton approach.BMJ open · 2021Article
- Effects of foreign direct investment and trade on the prevalence of tobacco consumption in Africa: a panel study.Globalization and health · 2021Article
- The effects of tobacco taxation and pricing on the prevalence of smoking in Africa.Global health research and policy · 2021Article
- Designing an Optimum Fiscal Policy for Tobacco to Maximise the Tax Revenue, Social Savings and the Net Monetary Benefits in Sri Lanka.International journal of health policy and management · 2020Article
- Effects of Prices on Youth Cigarette Smoking and Tobacco Use Initiation in Ghana and Nigeria.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Article
- Smoking, alcohol consumption, and illicit substances use among adolescents in Poland.Substance abuse treatment, prevention, and policy · 2018Article
- Tobacco tax and price in the developed and developing countries in the World.Data in brief · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesThis study investigates the effects of price hikes on cigarette consumption, tobacco tax revenues, and reduction in smoking-caused mortality in 36 African countries.
methodsUsing panel data from the 1999-2013 Euromonitor International, the World Bank and the World Health Organization, we applied fixed-effects and random-effects regression models of panel data to estimate the elasticity of cigarette prices and simulate the effect of price fluctuations.
resultsCigarette price elasticity was the highest for low-income countries and considerably lower for other African economies. The administered simulation shows that with an average annual cigarette price increase of 7.38%, the average annual cigarette consumption would decrease by 3.84%, and the average annual tobacco tax revenue would increase by 19.39%. By 2050, the number of averted smoking-attributable deaths (SADs) will be the highest in South Africa, followed by the Democratic Republic of Congo, Madagascar, and Ethiopia.
conclusionsExcise tax increases have a significant effect on the reduction of smoking prevalence and the number of averted smoking-attributable deaths, Low-income countries are most affected by high taxation policies.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.