Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28521828›Full record

ArticleTheoretical biology & medical modelling2017

Markov modeling in hepatitis B screening and linkage to care.

Martin A Sehr, Kartik D Joshi, John M Fontanesi, Robert J Wong, Robert R Bitmead, Robert G Gish

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Theoretical biology & medical modelling, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Time Series Analysis in Modeling of Hepatitis B Incidence.Iranian journal of public health · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Martin A SehrDepartment of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, MS 0411, La Jolla, CA, 92093-0411, USA.
Kartik D JoshiMidwestern University, Arizona College of Osteopathic Medicine, 19555 North 59th Avenue, Glendale, AZ, 85308, USA.
John M FontanesiDepartment of Medicine, Division of General Internal Medicine, University of California, San Diego, 200 W. Arbor Drive #8415, San Diego, CA, 92103, USA.
Robert J WongDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Alameda Health System - Highland Hospital, 1411 East 31st Street, Highland Care Pavilion - 5th Floor Endoscopy Unit, Oakland, CA, 94602, USA.
Robert R BitmeadDepartment of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, MS 0411, La Jolla, CA, 92093-0411, USA.
Robert G GishDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University, Alway Building, Room M211, 300 Pasteur Drive, MC: 5187, Stanford, CA, 94305-5187, USA. rgish@robertgish.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith up to 240 million people chronically infected with hepatitis B worldwide, including an estimated 2 million in the United States, widespread screening is needed to link the infected to care and decrease the possible consequences of untreated infection, including liver cancer, cirrhosis and death. Screening is currently fraught with challenges in both the developed and developing world. New point-of-care tests may have advantages over standard-of-care tests in terms of cost-effectiveness and linkage to care. Stochastic modeling is applied here for relative utility assessment of point-of-care tests and standard-of-care tests for screening.

methodsWe analyzed effects of point-of-care versus standard-of-care testing using Markov models for disease progression in individual patients. Simulations of large cohorts with distinctly quantified models permitted the assessment of particular screening schemes. The validity of the trends observed is supported by sensitivity analyses for the simulation parameters.

resultsIncreased utilization of point-of-care screening was shown to decrease hepatitis B-related mortalities and increase life expectancy at low projected expense.

conclusionsThe results suggest that standard-of-care screening should be substituted by point-of-care tests resulting in improved linkage to care and decrease in long-term complications.

Indexed as

Markov ChainsMass ScreeningModels, BiologicalPatient CareComputer SimulationHepatitis BHumansPoint-of-Care SystemsHepatitis B virusMarkov modelingPoint-of-careScreeningStandard-of-careTesting

Identifiers

PMID28521828
PMCPMC5437626

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.