Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28512224›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2017

The general form of Hamilton's rule makes no predictions and cannot be tested empirically.

Martin A Nowak, Alex McAvoy, Benjamin Allen, Edward O Wilson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Evolutionarily stable strategy analysis and its links to demography and genetics through invasion fitness.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
  6. Review
  7. The Price equation and the unity of social evolution theory.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
    Article
  8. The problem with the Price equation.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Inclusive fitness is an indispensable approximation for understanding organismal design.Evolution; international journal of organic evolution · 2019
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Hamilton's inclusive fitness maintains heritable altruism polymorphism throughProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018
    Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Martin A NowakProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.ORCID 0000-0001-5489-0908
Alex McAvoyProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.
Benjamin AllenProgram for Evolutionary Dynamics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.
Edward O WilsonMuseum of Comparative Zoology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138 ewilson@oeb.harvard.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hamilton's rule asserts that a trait is favored by natural selection if the benefit to others, [Formula: see text], multiplied by relatedness, [Formula: see text], exceeds the cost to self, [Formula: see text] Specifically, Hamilton's rule states that the change in average trait value in a population is proportional to [Formula: see text] This rule is commonly believed to be a natural law making important predictions in biology, and its influence has spread from evolutionary biology to other fields including the social sciences. Whereas many feel that Hamilton's rule provides valuable intuition, there is disagreement even among experts as to how the quantities [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text] should be defined for a given system. Here, we investigate a widely endorsed formulation of Hamilton's rule, which is said to be as general as natural selection itself. We show that, in this formulation, Hamilton's rule does not make predictions and cannot be tested empirically. It turns out that the parameters [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] depend on the change in average trait value and therefore cannot predict that change. In this formulation, which has been called "exact and general" by its proponents, Hamilton's rule can "predict" only the data that have already been given.

Indexed as

cooperationevolutionkin selectionsociobiology

Identifiers

PMID28512224
PMCPMC5465884

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.