Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28511696›Full record

ArticleHuman genomics2017

Variant effect prediction tools assessed using independent, functional assay-based datasets: implications for discovery and diagnostics.

Khalid Mahmood, Chol-Hee Jung, Gayle Philip, Peter Georgeson, Jessica Chung, Bernard J Pope, Daniel J Park

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human genomics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Computational modeling of human genetic variants in mice.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
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  18. In vivo versus in silico assessment of potentially pathogenic missense variants in human reproductive genes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Khalid MahmoodMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Chol-Hee JungMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Gayle PhilipMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Peter GeorgesonMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Jessica ChungMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Bernard J PopeMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Daniel J ParkMelbourne Bioinformatics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia. djp@unimelb.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0002-6354-0931

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGenetic variant effect prediction algorithms are used extensively in clinical genomics and research to determine the likely consequences of amino acid substitutions on protein function. It is vital that we better understand their accuracies and limitations because published performance metrics are confounded by serious problems of circularity and error propagation. Here, we derive three independent, functionally determined human mutation datasets, UniFun, BRCA1-DMS and TP53-TA, and employ them, alongside previously described datasets, to assess the pre-eminent variant effect prediction tools.

resultsApparent accuracies of variant effect prediction tools were influenced significantly by the benchmarking dataset. Benchmarking with the assay-determined datasets UniFun and BRCA1-DMS yielded areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves in the modest ranges of 0.52 to 0.63 and 0.54 to 0.75, respectively, considerably lower than observed for other, potentially more conflicted datasets.

conclusionsThese results raise concerns about how such algorithms should be employed, particularly in a clinical setting. Contemporary variant effect prediction tools are unlikely to be as accurate at the general prediction of functional impacts on proteins as reported prior. Use of functional assay-based datasets that avoid prior dependencies promises to be valuable for the ongoing development and accurate benchmarking of such tools.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMutationSoftwareDatabases, GeneticDatasets as TopicGenes, BRCA1Genes, p53HumansBenchmarkingFunctional assaysFunctional datasetsGenomic screeningMutation assessmentPathogenicity predictionProtein functionVariant effect prediction

Identifiers

PMID28511696
PMCPMC5433009

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.