Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28507751›Full record

ArticleUnited European gastroenterology journal2017

Validation of the efficacy of the prognostic factor score in the Japanese severity criteria for severe acute pancreatitis: A large multicenter study.

Tsukasa Ikeura, Masayasu Horibe, Masamitsu Sanui, Mitsuhito Sasaki, Yasuyuki Kuwagata, Kenichiro Nishi, Shuji Kariya, Hirotaka Sawano, Takashi Goto, Tsuyoshi Hamada and 20 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in United European gastroenterology journal, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Effect of abdominal visceral fat on mortality risk in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · 2021
    Article
  6. Observational
  7. Review
  8. The Effect of an Invasive Strategy for Treating Pancreatic Necrosis on Mortality: a Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2020
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Use of CT-Based Scoring System in Assessment of Pancreatitis Severity.Open access Macedonian journal of medical sciences · 2019
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Tsukasa IkeuraDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Masayasu HoribeDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Masamitsu SanuiDepartment of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Jichi Medical University, Saitama, Japan.
Mitsuhito SasakiDepartment of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Yasuyuki KuwagataDepartment of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Kenichiro NishiDepartment of Anesthesiology, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Shuji KariyaDepartment of Radiology, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Hirotaka SawanoSenri Critical Care Medical Center, Osaka Saiseikai Senri Hospital, Osaka, Japan.
Takashi GotoDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Hiroshima City Hiroshima Citizens Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan.
Tsuyoshi HamadaDepartment of Gastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Takuya OdaDepartment of General Internal Medicine, Iizuka Hospital, Fukuoka, Japan.
Hideto YasudaDepartment of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Japanese Red Cross Musashino Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Yuki OguraDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Metropolitan Tama Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Dai MiyazakiAdvanced Emergency Medical and Critical Care Center, Japanese Redcross Maebashi Hospital, Gunma, Japan.
Kaoru HiroseDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Shonan Kamakura General Hospital, Kanagawa, Japan.
Katsuya KitamuraDivision of Gastroenterology, Showa University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Nobutaka ChibaDepartment of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nihon University Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Tetsu OzakiDepartment of Acute Care and General Medicine, Saiseikai Kumamoto Hospital, Kumamoto, Japan.
Takahiro YamashitaEmergency Medical Center, Fukuyama City Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan.
Toshitaka KoinumaDivision of Intensive Care, Jichi Medical University School of Medicine, Tochigi, Japan.
Taku OshimaDepartment of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Chiba University Graduate School of Medicine, Chiba, Japan.
Tomonori YamamotoDepartment of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Osaka City University, Osaka, Japan.
Morihisa HirotaDivision of Gastroenterology, Tohoku University Hospital, Miyagi, Japan.
Satoshi YamamotoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Fujita Health University, Nagoya, Japan.
Kyoji OeDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Asahi General Hospital, Chiba, Japan.
Tetsuya ItoDepartment of Medicine, Shinshu University School of Medicine, Nagano, Japan.
Eisuke IwasakiDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Takanori KanaiDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Kazuichi OkazakiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
Toshihiko MayumiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Fukuoka, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Japanese severity criteria for acute pancreatitis (AP), which consist of a prognostic factor score and contrast-enhanced computed tomography grade, have been widely used in Japan.

objectiveThis large multicenter retrospective study was conducted to validate the predictive value of the prognostic factor score for mortality and complications in severe AP patients in comparison to the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score.

methodsData of 1159 patients diagnosed with severe AP according to the Japanese severity criteria for AP were retrospectively collected in 44 institutions.

resultsThe area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the prognostic factor score for predicting mortality was 0.78 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.74-0.82), whereas the AUC for the APACHE II score was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76-0.83), respectively. There were no significant differences in the AUC for predicting mortality between two scoring systems. The AUCs of the prognostic factor scores for predicting the need for mechanical ventilation, the development of pancreatic infection, and severe AP according to the revised Atlanta classification were 0.84 (95% CI, 0.81-0.86), 0.73 (95% CI, 0.69-0.77), and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.81-0.86), respectively, which were significantly greater than the AUCs for the APACHE II score; 0.81 (95% CI, 0.78-0.83) for the need for mechanical ventilation (

conclusionThe prognostic factor score has an equivalent ability for predicting mortality compared with the APACHE II score. Regarding the ability for predicting the development of severe complications during the clinical course of AP, the prognostic factor score may be superior to the APACHE II score.

Indexed as

Acute pancreatitisdiagnosismortalityprognostic factor scoreseverity criteria

Identifiers

PMID28507751
PMCPMC5415216

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