Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28505163›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies are the strongest predictor of clinically relevant radiographic progression in rheumatoid arthritis patients achieving remission or low disease activity: A post hoc analysis of a nationwide cohort in Japan.

Tomohiro Koga, Akitomo Okada, Takaaki Fukuda, Toshihiko Hidaka, Tomonori Ishii, Yukitaka Ueki, Takao Kodera, Munetoshi Nakashima, Yuichi Takahashi, Seiyo Honda and 18 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Skeletal complications of rheumatoid arthritis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2017
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Tomohiro KogaCenter for Bioinformatics and Molecular Medicine, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2077-4428
Akitomo OkadaJapanese Red Cross Nagasaki Genbaku Hospital, Department of Rheumatology, Mori-machi 3-15, Nagasaki, Japan.
Takaaki FukudaKurume University Medical Center, Department of Rheumatology, Kokubun 155-1, Kurume, Japan.
Toshihiko HidakaZenjinkai Shimin-no-Mori Hospital, Shioji 2783-37, Miyazaki, Japan.
Tomonori IshiiTohoku University Hospital, Department of Hematology and Rheumatology, Aoba-ku, seiryo 1-1, Sendai, Japan.
Yukitaka UekiSasebo Chuo Hospital, Rheumatic and Collagen Disease Center, Yamato 15, Sasebo, Japan.
Takao KoderaTohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University Hospital, Aoba-ku, komatsujima 4-4-1, Sendai, Japan.
Munetoshi NakashimaJapanese Red Cross Nagasaki Genbaku Hospital, Department of Rheumatology, Mori-machi 3-15, Nagasaki, Japan.
Yuichi TakahashiYu Family Clinic, Rifu-aza sinkan 2-5, Miyagi, Japan.
Seiyo HondaKurume University School of Medicine, asahi-machi 67, Kurume, Japan.
Yoshiro HoraiUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Ryu WatanabeTohoku University Hospital, Department of Hematology and Rheumatology, Aoba-ku, seiryo 1-1, Sendai, Japan.
Hiroshi OkunoTohoku University Hospital, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Hirase 9-3, Sasebo, Japan.
Toshiyuki AramakiJapanese Red Cross Nagasaki Genbaku Hospital, Department of Rheumatology, Mori-machi 3-15, Nagasaki, Japan.
Tomomasa IzumiyamaEast Sendai Rheumatism and internal medicine Clinic, Miyagino, Nittahigashi 1-17-5, Sendai, Japan.
Osamu TakaiOsaki Citizen Hospital, Furukawa-honami 3-8-1, Osaki, Japan.
Taiichiro MiyashitaNHO Nagasaki Medical Center, Kubara 2-1001-1, Omura, Nagasaki Japan.
Shuntaro SatoClinical Research Center, Nagasaki University Hospital, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Shin-Ya KawashiriUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Naoki IwamotoUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Kunihiro IchinoseUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Mami TamaiUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Tomoki OriguchiDepartment of Rehabilitation Sciences, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-12-4, Nagasaki, Japan.
Hideki NakamuraUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Kiyoshi AoyagiDepartment of Public Health, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-12-4, Nagasaki, Japan.
Katsumi EguchiSasebo City General Hospital, Hirase 9-3, Sasebo, Japan.
Atsushi KawakamiUnit of Translational Medicine, Department of Immunology and Rheumatology, Nagasaki University Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Sakamoto 1-7-1, Nagasaki, Japan.
Japanese RA Patients with RRP Study Group
Nagasaki University · JPJapanese Red Cross Society, Japan · JPTohoku University Hospital · JPSasebo City General Hospital · JPKurume University · JPKurume University Medical Center · JPMiyagi University · JPNagasaki Medical Center · JPNagasaki University Hospital · JPOsaki Citizen Hospital · JPTohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University Hospital · JPUji Hospital · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine prognostic factors of clinically relevant radiographic progression (CRRP) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) achieving remission or low disease activity (LDA) in clinical practice.

methodsUsing data from a nationwide, multicenter, prospective study in Japan, we evaluated 198 biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD)-naïve RA patients who were in remission or had LDA at study entry after being treated with conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARDs). CRRP was defined as the yearly progression of modified total Sharp score (mTSS) >3.0 U. We performed a multiple logistic regression analysis to explore the factors to predict CRRP at 1 year. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to estimate the performance of relevant variables for predicting CRRP.

resultsThe mean Disease Activity Score in 28 joints-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR) was 2.32 ± 0.58 at study entry. During the 1-year observation, remission or LDA persisted in 72% of the patients. CRRP was observed in 7.6% of the patients. The multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that the independent variables to predict the development of CRRP were: anti-citrullinated peptide antibodies (ACPA) positivity at baseline (OR = 15.2, 95%CI 2.64-299), time-integrated DAS28-ESR during the 1 year post-baseline (7.85-unit increase, OR = 1.83, 95%CI 1.03-3.45), and the mTSS at baseline (13-unit increase, OR = 1.22, 95%CI 1.06-1.42).

conclusionsACPA positivity was the strongest independent predictor of CRRP in patients with RA in remission or LDA. Physicians should recognize ACPA as a poor-prognosis factor regarding the radiographic outcome of RA, even among patients showing a clinically favorable response to DMARDs.

Indexed as

AgedArthritis, RheumatoidAutoantibodiesBiomarkersCohort StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansJapanMaleMiddle AgedOdds RatioPeptide FragmentsPrognosisRadiographyROC CurveAutoantibodiesBiomarkersPeptide Fragments

Identifiers

PMID28505163
PMCPMC5432072
OpenAlexW2615761072

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.