Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28484952›Full record

ReviewPsychonomic bulletin & review2018

The anchoring bias reflects rational use of cognitive resources.

Falk Lieder, Thomas L Griffiths, Quentin J M Huys, Noah D Goodman

Abstract readReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Psychonomic bulletin & review, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Information sampling and Bayesian belief formation in statistical judgment.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  11. Noise in Cognition: Bug or Feature?Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2025
    Article
  12. Review
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  15. Human-artificial intelligence interaction in gastrointestinal endoscopy.World journal of gastrointestinal endoscopy · 2024
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Falk LiederHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, Berkeley, USA. falk.lieder@berkeley.edu.
Thomas L GriffithsHelen Wills Neuroscience Institute, University of California, Berkeley, USA.
Quentin J M HuysTranslational Neuromodeling Unit, Institute for Biomedical Engineering, University of Zürich and Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Zürich, Switzerland.
Noah D GoodmanDepartment of Psychology, Stanford University, Stanford, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cognitive biases, such as the anchoring bias, pose a serious challenge to rational accounts of human cognition. We investigate whether rational theories can meet this challenge by taking into account the mind's bounded cognitive resources. We asked what reasoning under uncertainty would look like if people made rational use of their finite time and limited cognitive resources. To answer this question, we applied a mathematical theory of bounded rationality to the problem of numerical estimation. Our analysis led to a rational process model that can be interpreted in terms of anchoring-and-adjustment. This model provided a unifying explanation for ten anchoring phenomena including the differential effect of accuracy motivation on the bias towards provided versus self-generated anchors. Our results illustrate the potential of resource-rational analysis to provide formal theories that can unify a wide range of empirical results and reconcile the impressive capacities of the human mind with its apparently irrational cognitive biases.

Indexed as

BiasCognitionProblem SolvingHeuristicsHumansMotivationProbabilityUncertaintyAnchoring-and-adjustmentBounded rationalityCognitive biasesHeuristicsProbabilistic reasoningRational process models

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.