ReviewPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2017
Learning from single extreme events.
Review in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Heatwave winners and losers: cryptic coral holobionts differ in thermal tolerance.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2026Article
- Recurrent Extreme Climatic Events Are Driving Gorgonian Populations to Local Extinction: Low Adaptive Potential to Marine Heatwaves.Global change biology · 2024Article
- Recurrent Extreme Climatic Events Are Driving Gorgonian Populations to Local Extinction: Low Adaptive Potential to Marine Heatwaves.Global change biology · 2024Article
- Case analysis of long-term negative psychological responses to psychedelics.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Phenotypic plasticity increases exposure to extreme climatic events that reduce individual fitness.Global change biology · 2023Article
- Hail-induced mortality of Asian Openbill (Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- Wrack enhancement of post-hurricane vegetation and geomorphological recovery in a coastal dune.PloS one · 2022Article
- There's a storm a-coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events.Ecology and evolution · 2020Article
- Biological responses to extreme weather events are detectable but difficult to formally attribute to anthropogenic climate change.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Environmental catastrophes, climate change, and attribution.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2020Article
- Extreme temperature drop alters hatching delay, reproductive success, and physiological condition in great tits.International journal of biometeorology · 2020Article
- Repeated cyclone events reveal potential causes of sociality in coral-dwelling Gobiodon fishes.PloS one · 2018Article
- Behavioural, ecological and evolutionary responses to extreme climatic events: challenges and directions.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017Article
- Climate change, climatic variation and extreme biological responses.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017Article
- Effect of extreme sea surface temperature events on the demography of an age-structured albatross population.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017Article
- Integrating plant ecological responses to climate extremes from individual to ecosystem levels.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Extreme climatic events (ECEs) have a disproportionate effect on ecosystems. Yet much of what we know about the ecological impact of ECEs is based on observing the effects of single extreme events. We examined what characteristics affect the strength of inference that can be drawn from single-event studies, which broadly fell into three categories: opportunistic observational studies initiated after an ECE, long-term observational studies with data before and after an ECE and experiments. Because extreme events occur rarely, inference from such single-event studies cannot easily be made under the usual statistical paradigm that relies on replication and control. However, single-event studies can yield important information for theory development and can contribute to meta-analyses. Adaptive management approaches can be used to learn from single, or a few, extreme events. We identify a number of factors that can make observations of single events more informative. These include providing robust estimates of the magnitude of ecological responses and some measure of climatic extremeness, collecting ancillary data that can inform on mechanisms, continuing to observe the biological system after the ECE and combining observational data with experiments and models. Well-designed single-event studies are an important contribution to our understanding of biological effects of ECEs.This article is part of the themed issue 'Behavioural, ecological and evolutionary responses to extreme climatic events'.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.