Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28478536›Full record

ArticleCancer causes & control : CCC2017

Percent mammographic density prediction: development of a model in the nurses' health studies.

Megan S Rice, Bernard A Rosner, Rulla M Tamimi

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer causes & control : CCC, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03920098 (The Chilean Maternal and Infant Nutrition Cohort Study II), which is not on this map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03920098 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

The Chilean Maternal and Infant Nutrition Cohort Study II

TypeobservationalSponsorInstituto de Nutrición y Tecnología de los AlimentosRan2019 to 2023Enrolled1,927ConditionsBreast Density, Body Composition, Nutritional Status, Mental Health IssueArmsNutrition and mental health during pregnancy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Associations of Oral Contraceptives with Mammographic Breast Density in Premenopausal Women.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Megan S RiceClinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, 55 Fruit Street, Bartlett 9, Boston, MA, 02114, USA. mrice1@mgh.harvard.edu.
Bernard A RosnerChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02114, USA.
Rulla M TamimiChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02114, USA.

Funding

Statistical MethodsP01CA087969 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ROSNER, BERNARD A · 2000 to 2019
$77.8M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Life Course Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in WomenUM1CA176726 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI WILLETT, WALTER C. · 2013 to 2017
$15.7M
Whole Genome Association Study of Mammographic DensityR01CA131332 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TAMIMI, RULLA M · 2009 to 2012
$1.9M
Mammographic density and texture features in relation to breast cancer riskR01CA175080 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TAMIMI, RULLA M · 2013 to 2016
$1.7M
Molecular Predictors of Mammographic DensityR01CA124865 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TAMIMI, RULLA M · 2008 to 2011
$1.2M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA087969NCI NIH HHS R01 CA124865NCI NIH HHS R01 CA131332NCI NIH HHS R01 CA175080NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA176726NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo develop a model to predict percent mammographic density (MD) using questionnaire data and mammograms from controls in the Nurses' Health Studies' nested breast cancer case-control studies. Further, we assessed the association between both measured and predicted percent MD and breast cancer risk.

methodsUsing data from 2,955 controls, we assessed several variables as potential predictors. We randomly divided our dataset into a training dataset (two-thirds of the dataset) and a testing dataset (one-third of the dataset). We used stepwise linear regression to identify the subset of variables that were most predictive. Next, we examined the correlation between measured and predicted percent MD in the testing dataset and computed the r

resultsIn the training dataset, several variables were selected for inclusion, including age, body mass index, and parity, among others. In the testing dataset, the Spearman correlation coefficient between predicted and measured percent MD was 0.61. As the prediction model performed well in the testing dataset, we developed the final model in the total dataset. The final prediction model explained 41% of the variability in percent MD. Both measured and predicted percent MD were similarly associated with breast cancer risk adjusting for age, menopausal status, and hormone use (OR per five unit increase = 1.09 for both).

conclusionThese results suggest that predicted percent MD may be useful for research studies in which mammograms are unavailable.

Indexed as

Breast DensityMammographyAdultAgedBreastBreast NeoplasmsCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansLinear ModelsLogistic ModelsMiddle AgedNursesRisk FactorsBreast cancerMammographic densityPrediction model

Identifiers

PMID28478536
PMCPMC5568000

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.