ArticleEnvironmental management2017
Climatic-Induced Shifts in the Distribution of Teak (Tectona grandis) in Tropical Asia: Implications for Forest Management and Planning.
Article in Environmental management, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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14 citing papers in PubMed, 61 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Geographic distribution and impacts of climate change on the suitable habitats of Rhamnus utilis Decne in China.BMC plant biology · 2023Article
- Impacts of Climate Changes on Geographic Distribution ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Vulnerability of cocoa-based agroforestry systems to climate change in West Africa.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- The impact of climate change on the distribution of rare and endangered treeEcology and evolution · 2022Article
- Potential Current and Future Distribution of the Long-Whiskered Owlet (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2022Article
- Article
- Assessing the impact of climate change on the distribution of Osmanthus fragrans using Maxent.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Article
- Shifts in potential geographical distribution ofEcology and evolution · 2020Article
- Modeling the potential range expansion of larger grain borer, Prostephanus truncatus (Coleoptera: Bostrichidae).Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Draft genome of a high value tropical timber tree, Teak (Tectona grandis L. f): insights into SSR diversity, phylogeny and conservation.DNA research : an international journal for rapid publication of reports on genes and genomes · 2018Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Modelling the future suitable climate space for tree species has become a widely used tool for forest management planning under global climate change. Teak (Tectona grandis) is one of the most valuable tropical hardwood species in the international timber market, and natural teak forests are distributed from India through Myanmar, Laos and Thailand. The extents of teak forests are shrinking due to deforestation and the local impacts of global climate change. However, the direct impacts of climate changes on the continental-scale distributions of native and non-native teak have not been examined. In this study, we developed a species distribution model for teak across its entire native distribution in tropical Asia, and its non-native distribution in Bangladesh. We used presence-only records of trees and twelve environmental variables that were most representative for current teak distributions in South and Southeast Asia. MaxEnt (maximum entropy) models were used to model the distributions of teak under current and future climate scenarios. We found that land use/land cover change and elevation were the two most important variables explaining the current and future distributions of native and non-native teak in tropical Asia. Changes in annual precipitation, precipitation seasonality and annual mean actual evapotranspiration may result in shifts in the distributions of teak across tropical Asia. We discuss the implications for the conservation of critical teak habitats, forest management planning, and risks of biological invasion that may occur due to its cultivation in non-native ranges.
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