Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28470947›Full record

ArticleArthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)2017

Lifetime Risk of Symptomatic Hand Osteoarthritis: The Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project.

Jin Qin, Kamil E Barbour, Louise B Murphy, Amanda E Nelson, Todd A Schwartz, Charles G Helmick, Kelli D Allen, Jordan B Renner, Nancy A Baker, Joanne M Jordan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 59 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 115 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jin QinCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Kamil E BarbourCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Louise B MurphyCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0003-3919-0721
Amanda E NelsonUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Todd A SchwartzUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Charles G HelmickCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Kelli D AllenUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Jordan B RennerUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Nancy A BakerUniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Joanne M JordanUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

Project 3P60AR049465 · NIAMS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JORDAN, JOANNE M. · 2003 to 2008
$6.0M
NIAMS Multidisciplinary Clinical Research CenterP60AR064166 · NIAMS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SCHWARTZ, TODD A · 2013 to 2017
$5.8M
Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project: Arthritis, Disability, and Other Chronic DiseasesU01DP006266 · DP · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI NELSON, AMANDA E · 2016 to 2020
$3.8M
The Johnston County OA Project: Arthritis and DisabilityU01DP003206 · DP · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JORDAN, JOANNE M. · 2011 to 2015
$3.2M
Women's knee motion patterns in functional activitiesP60AR030701 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI CALLAHAN, LEIGH FLEMING · 1986 to 2001
$1.9M
Intramural CDC HHS CC999999NCCDPHP CDC HHS U01 DP003206NCCDPHP CDC HHS U01 DP006266NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR030701NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR049465NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR064166
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveSymptomatic hand osteoarthritis (OA) is a common condition that affects hand strength and function, and causes disability in activities of daily living. Prior studies have estimated that the lifetime risk of symptomatic knee OA is 45% and that of hip OA is 25%. The objective of the present study was to estimate the overall lifetime risk of symptomatic hand OA, and the stratified lifetime risk according to potential risk factors.

methodsData were obtained from 2,218 adult subjects (ages ≥45 years) in the Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project, a population-based prospective cohort study among residents of Johnston County, North Carolina. Data for the present study were collected from 2 of the follow-up cycles (1999-2004 and 2005-2010). Symptomatic hand OA was defined as the presence of both self-reported symptoms and radiographic OA in the same hand. Lifetime risk, defined as the proportion of the population who will develop symptomatic hand OA in at least 1 hand by age 85 years, was estimated from models using generalized estimating equations.

resultsOverall, the lifetime risk of symptomatic hand OA was 39.8% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 34.4-45.3%). In this population, nearly 1 in 2 women (47.2%, 95% CI 40.6-53.9%) had an estimated lifetime risk of developing symptomatic hand OA by age 85 years, compared with 1 in 4 men (24.6%, 95% CI 19.5-30.5%). Race-specific symptomatic hand OA risk estimates were 41.4% (95% CI 35.5-47.6%) among whites and 29.2% (95% CI 20.5-39.7%) among African Americans. The lifetime risk of symptomatic hand OA among individuals with obesity (47.1%, 95% CI 37.8-56.7%) was 11 percentage points higher than that in individuals without obesity (36.1%, 95% CI 29.7-42.9%).

conclusionThese findings demonstrate the substantial burden of symptomatic hand OA overall and in sociodemographic and clinical subgroups. Increased use of public health and clinical interventions is needed to address its impact.

Indexed as

HandModels, StatisticalAgedAged, 80 and overBlack or African AmericanConfidence IntervalsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNorth CarolinaObesityOsteoarthritisRadiographyRisk FactorsSex Factors

Identifiers

PMID28470947
PMCPMC5449255
OpenAlexW2610207217

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.