Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28468605›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2017

Universal test, treat, and keep: improving ART retention is key in cost-effective HIV control in Uganda.

Nicky McCreesh, Ioannis Andrianakis, Rebecca N Nsubuga, Mark Strong, Ian Vernon, Trevelyan J McKinley, Jeremy E Oakley, Michael Goldstein, Richard Hayes, Richard G White

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Nicky McCreeshLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK. Nicky.mccreesh@lshtm.ac.uk.
Ioannis AndrianakisLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Rebecca N NsubugaMRC/UVRI Research Unit on AIDS, P.O. Box 49, Entebbe, Uganda.
Mark StrongSchool of Health and Related Research, The University of Sheffield, 30 Regent Street, Sheffield, S1 4DA, UK.
Ian VernonDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Lower Mountjoy, Stockton Road, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK.
Trevelyan J McKinleyCollege of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Campusm Penryn, Penryn, TR10 9FE, UK.
Jeremy E OakleySchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, The Hicks Building, Hounsfield Road, Sheffield, S3 7RH, UK.
Michael GoldsteinDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Durham University, Lower Mountjoy, Stockton Road, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK.
Richard HayesLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Richard G WhiteLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.

Funding

STRENGTHENING WORKPLACE INTERVENTIONS IN SMME'S IN SOUTH AFRICAU2GPS000811 · PS · AURUM INSTITUTE NPC · PI CLARK, DAVE · 2007 to 2011
$75.0M
Department of Health PDF-2012-05-258Medical Research Council G0601721Medical Research Council G0802414Medical Research Council MR/J005088/1Medical Research Council MR/K012126/1Medical Research Council MR/P002404/1NCHHSTP CDC HHS U2G PS000811PEPFAR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith ambitious new UNAIDS targets to end AIDS by 2030, and new WHO treatment guidelines, there is increased interest in the best way to scale-up ART coverage. We investigate the cost-effectiveness of various ART scale-up options in Uganda.

methodsIndividual-based HIV/ART model of Uganda, calibrated using history matching. 22 ART scale-up strategies were simulated from 2016 to 2030, comprising different combinations of six single interventions (1. increased HIV testing rates, 2. no CD4 threshold for ART initiation, 3. improved ART retention, 4. increased ART restart rates, 5. improved linkage to care, 6. improved pre-ART care). The incremental net monetary benefit (NMB) of each intervention was calculated, for a wide range of different willingness/ability to pay (WTP) per DALY averted (health-service perspective, 3% discount rate).

resultsFor all WTP thresholds above $210, interventions including removing the CD4 threshold were likely to be most cost-effective. At a WTP of $715 (1 × per-capita-GDP) interventions to improve linkage to and retention/re-enrolment in HIV care were highly likely to be more cost-effective than interventions to increase rates of HIV testing. At higher WTP (> ~ $1690), the most cost-effective option was 'Universal Test, Treat, and Keep' (UTTK), which combines interventions 1-5 detailed above.

conclusionsOur results support new WHO guidelines to remove the CD4 threshold for ART initiation in Uganda. With additional resources, this could be supplemented with interventions aimed at improving linkage to and/or retention in HIV care. To achieve the greatest reductions in HIV incidence, a UTTK policy should be implemented.

Indexed as

Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMass ScreeningModels, TheoreticalQuality-Adjusted Life YearsUgandaARTCost-effectivenessHIVMathematical modellingUgandaUniversal test and treat

Identifiers

PMID28468605
PMCPMC5415795

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.