ArticleScientific reports2017
Ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Species range shifts often speed ahead of their modeled climatic niches.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Oceanographic connectivity strongly restricts future range expansions of critical marine forest species.npj biodiversity · 2026Article
- Coastal oceanographic connectivity at the global scale: a dataset of pairwise probabilities and travel times derived from biophysical modeling.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Climb forest, climb: diverse disperser communities are key to assist plants tracking climate change on altitudinal gradients.The New phytologist · 2025Article
- Temporal dynamics of climate change exposure and opportunities for global marine biodiversity.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Incorporating physiological knowledge into correlative species distribution models minimizes bias introduced by the choice of calibration area.Marine life science & technology · 2024Article
- Boreal and Lusitanian species display trophic niche variation in temperate waters.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Impacts of Strong ENSO Events on Fish Communities in an Overexploited Ecosystem in the South China Sea.Biology · 2023Article
- Oceanographic connectivity explains the intra-specific diversity of mangrove forests at global scales.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Climate, currents and species traits contribute to early stages of marine species redistribution.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Climate-driven shifts in kelp forest composition reduce carbon sequestration potential.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Realistic fisheries management reforms could mitigate the impacts of climate change in most countries.PloS one · 2020Article
- The effects of water temperature on the juvenile performance of two tropical damselfishes expatriating to temperate reefs.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018Article
- Environmental effects of ozone depletion, UV radiation and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, update 2017.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Biogeographical shifts are a ubiquitous global response to climate change. However, observed shifts across taxa and geographical locations are highly variable and only partially attributable to climatic conditions. Such variable outcomes result from the interaction between local climatic changes and other abiotic and biotic factors operating across species ranges. Among them, external directional forces such as ocean and air currents influence the dispersal of nearly all marine and many terrestrial organisms. Here, using a global meta-dataset of observed range shifts of marine species, we show that incorporating directional agreement between flow and climate significantly increases the proportion of explained variance. We propose a simple metric that measures the degrees of directional agreement of ocean (or air) currents with thermal gradients and considers the effects of directional forces in predictions of climate-driven range shifts. Ocean flows are found to both facilitate and hinder shifts depending on their directional agreement with spatial gradients of temperature. Further, effects are shaped by the locations of shifts in the range (trailing, leading or centroid) and taxonomic identity of species. These results support the global effects of climatic changes on distribution shifts and stress the importance of framing climate expectations in reference to other non-climatic interacting factors.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.