Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28464403›Full record

Observational studyTropical medicine & international health : TM & IH2017

Seasonal variation in child mortality in rural Guinea-Bissau.

Bibi Uhre Nielsen, Stine Byberg, Peter Aaby, Amabelia Rodrigues, Christine Stabell Benn, Ane Baerent Fisker

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Effect of Seasonal Variations on Infant Mortality Rate of Some Selected Districts of Jammu Division.Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive & Social Medicine
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Bibi Uhre NielsenBandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.
Stine BybergBandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.
Peter AabyBandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.
Amabelia RodriguesBandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.
Christine Stabell BennBandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.
Ane Baerent FiskerBandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIn many African countries, child mortality is higher in the rainy season than in the dry season. We investigated the effect of season on child mortality by time periods, sex and age in rural Guinea-Bissau.

methodsBandim health project follows children under-five in a health and demographic surveillance system in rural Guinea-Bissau. We compared the mortality in the rainy season (June to November) between 1990 and 2013 with the mortality in the dry season (December to May) in Cox proportional hazards models providing rainy vs. dry season mortality rate ratios (r/d-mrr). Seasonal effects were estimated in strata defined by time periods with different frequency of vaccination campaigns, sex and age (<1 month, 1-11 months, 12-59 months). Verbal autopsies were interpreted using InterVa-4 software.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2013, overall mortality was declined by almost two-thirds among 81 292 children (10 588 deaths). Mortality was 51% (95% ci: 45-58%) higher in the rainy season than in the dry season throughout the study period. The seasonal difference increased significantly with age, the r/d-mrr being 0.94 (0.86-1.03) among neonates, 1.57 (1.46-1.69) in post-neonatal infants and 1.83 (1.72-1.95) in under-five children (P for same effect <0.001). According to the InterVa, malaria deaths were the main reason for the seasonal mortality difference, causing 50% of all deaths in the rainy season, but only if the InterVa included season of death, making the argument self-confirmatory.

conclusionThe mortality declined throughout the study, yet rainy season continued to be associated with 51% higher overall mortality.

Indexed as

Child MortalityClimateSeasonsAge FactorsChild, PreschoolFemaleGuinea-BissauHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleProportional Hazards ModelsRural PopulationSex Factorsage groupscausa de muertecause de décèscause of deathchild mortalityestacionesgroupes d’âgegrupos de edadGuinea-BissauGuinée-Bissaumortalidad infantilmortalité infantilesaisonsseasonssexsexesexo

Identifiers

PMID28464403
PMCPMC5811910

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.