Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28442934›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2017

Effect of glomerular filtration rate at dialysis initiation on survival in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: what is the effect of lead-time bias?

Cynthia J Janmaat, Merel van Diepen, Raymond T Krediet, Marc H Hemmelder, Friedo W Dekker

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Survival of patients who opt for dialysis versus conservative care: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Replacement Strategies for Tunneled Hemodialysis Catheters with Complications: A Nationwide Cohort Study.Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN · 2024
    Article
  7. Observational
  8. Where to look for the most frequent biases?Nephrology (Carlton, Vic.) · 2020
    Review
  9. Higher eGFR at Dialysis Initiation Is Not Associated with a Survival Benefit in Children.Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Cynthia J JanmaatDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden.
Merel van DiepenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden.
Raymond T KredietDepartment of Nephrology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam.
Marc H HemmelderDepartment of Internal Medicine, Nefrovisie Foundation, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Friedo W DekkerDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden.
Leiden University Medical Center · NLAcademic Medical Center · NLNefrovisie · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCurrent clinical guidelines recommend to initiate dialysis in the presence of symptoms or signs attributable to kidney failure, often with a glomerular filtration rate (GFR) of 5-10 mL/min/1.73 m MATERIALS AND

methodsA total of 1,143 patients with eGFR data at dialysis initiation and 852 patients with mGFR data were included from the NECOSAD cohort. Cox regression was used to adjust for potential confounders. To examine the effect of lead-time bias, survival was counted from the time of dialysis initiation or from a common starting point (GFR 20 mL/min/1.73 m

resultsWithout lead-time correction, no difference between early and late starters was present based on eGFR (hazard ratio [HR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.81-1.3). However, after lead-time correction, early initiation showed a survival disadvantage (HR between 1.1 [95% CI 0.82-1.48] and 1.33 [95% CI 1.05-1.68]). Based on mGFR, the potential survival benefit for early starters without lead-time correction (HR 0.8, 95% CI 0.62-1.03) completely disappeared after lead-time correction (HR between 0.94 [95% CI 0.65-1.34] and 1.21 [95% CI 0.95-1.56]). Dialysis start time differed about a year between early and late initiation.

conclusionLead-time bias is not only a methodological problem but also has clinical impact when assessing the optimal kidney function to start dialysis. Therefore, lead-time bias is extremely important to correct for. Taking account of lead-time bias, this controlled study showed that early dialysis initiation (eGFR >7.9, mGFR >6.6 mL/min/1.73 m

Indexed as

end-stage renal diseaseepidemiologyhazard modelkidney functionlead timelinear interpolation model

Identifiers

PMID28442934
PMCPMC5396834
OpenAlexW2607395252

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.