Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28441685›Full record

Observational studySpine2017

Stagnant Physical Therapy Referral Rates Alongside Rising Opioid Prescription Rates in Patients With Low Back Pain in the United States 1997-2010.

Patricia Zheng, Ming-Chih Kao, Nicholas V Karayannis, Matthew Smuck

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Spine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07285824 (Virtual McKenzie Exercises and Centralization of Pain), which is not on this map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07285824 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Virtual McKenzie Exercises and Centralization of Pain: A Pilot Study

TypeinterventionalSponsorEvidence In MotionRan2025 to 2026Enrolled40ConditionsChronic Pain, Low Back PainArmsMotor Imagery-Based Lumbar Extension
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 77 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Factors influencing referral decisions for patients with chronic low back pain: a scoping review.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Review
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Patient Choice After Referral to Physical Therapy for Lower Back Pain and Knee Osteoarthritis.Archives of rehabilitation research and clinical translation · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Evaluation is treatment for low back pain.The Journal of manual & manipulative therapy · 2021
    Observational
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Patricia ZhengDivision of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Stanford University, Redwood City, CA.
Ming-Chih KaoDivision of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Stanford University, Redwood City, CA.
Nicholas V KarayannisDivision of Pain Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Stanford University, Redwood City, CA.
Matthew SmuckDivision of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Stanford University, Redwood City, CA.
Stanford University · US

Funding

Interdisciplinary Research Training in Pain and Substance Use DisordersT32DA035165 · NIDA · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI SEAN C MACKEY · 2013 to 2026
$7.2M
NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA035165
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

designA cross-sectional observational study utilizing the National Ambulatory and National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Surveys between 1997 and 2010.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to characterize national physical therapy (PT) referral trends during primary care provider (PCP) visits in the United States. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Despite guidelines recommending PT for the initial management of low back pain (LBP), national PT referral rates remain low.

methodsRace, ethnicity, age, payer type, and PT referral rates were collected for patients aged 16 to 90 years who were visiting their PCPs. Associations among demographic variables and PT referral were determined using logistic regression.

resultsBetween 1997 and 2010, we estimated 170 million visits for LBP leading to 17.1 million PT referrals. Average proportion of PCP visits associated with PT referrals remained stable at about 10.1% [odds ratio (OR) 1.00, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.96-1.04)], despite our prior finding of increasing number of visits associated with opioid prescriptions in the same timeframe.Lower PT referral rates were observed among visits by patients who were insured by Medicaid (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.33-0.69) and Medicare (OR 0.50, 95% CI 0.35-0.72). Furthermore, visits not associated with PT referrals were more likely to be associated with opioid prescriptions (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.22-2.35).

conclusionAlthough therapies delivered by PTs are promoted as a first-line treatment for LBP, PT referral rates remain low. There also exist disparately lower referral rates in populations with more restrictive health plans and simultaneous opioid prescription. Our findings provide a broad overview to PT prescription trend and isolate concerning associations requiring further explorations. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

Indexed as

Chronic PainLow Back PainPhysical Therapy ModalitiesAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAnalgesics, OpioidCross-Sectional StudiesDrug PrescriptionsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedReferral and ConsultationUnited StatesAnalgesics, Opioid

Identifiers

PMID28441685
PMCPMC9853341
OpenAlexW2517067382

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.