Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28440304›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of gastroenterology2017

The Natural History of Severe Acute Liver Injury.

David G Koch, J L Speiser, V Durkalski, R J Fontana, T Davern, B McGuire, R T Stravitz, A M Larson, I Liou, O Fix and 22 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of gastroenterology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02786836 (13C-Methacetin Breath Test for the Prediction of Outcome in in Acute Liver Injury or Acute Liver Failure), which is not on this map. Cited by 72 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
72citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.7field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02786836 phase2 / phase3completednot on this map

13C-Methacetin Breath Test for the Prediction of Outcome in in Acute Liver Injury or Acute Liver Failure

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of Texas Southwestern Medical CenterRan2016 to 2019Enrolled76ConditionsAcute Liver FailureArms13C-Methacetin
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

72 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 139 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The DILI-Inpt Prognostic Score to Identify Hospitalized Idiosyncratic DILI Patients at Risk for Adverse Outcomes.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2026
    Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Keap1 Deletion Rescues Cell Death Associated With Gpx4 Loss in Hepatocytes During Acute Liver Injury.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Liver diseases: epidemiology, causes, trends and predictions.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2025
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

12 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors at 20 institutions in 2 countries.

David G KochMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
J L SpeiserMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
V DurkalskiMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
R J FontanaUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
T DavernCalifornia Pacific Medical Center, San Francisco, California, USA.
B McGuireUniversity of Alabama, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
R T StravitzVirginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, USA.
A M LarsonUniversity of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
I LiouUniversity of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
O FixSwedish Medical Center Seattle, Seattle, Washington, USA.
M L SchilskyYale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
T McCashlandUniversity of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA.
J E HayMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
N MurrayBaylor University Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.
O S ShaikhUniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
D GangerNorthwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA.
A ZamanOregon Health Sciences Center, Portland, Oregon, USA.
S B HanUniversity of California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
R T ChungMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
R S BrownAlbert Einstein Medical Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
S MunozUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
K R ReddyUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
L RossaroUniversity of California, Davis, California, USA.
R SatyanarayanaMayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
A J HanjeThe Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
J OlsonUniversity of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA.
R M SubramanianEmory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
C KarvellasUniversity of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
B HameedUniversity of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
A H SherkerNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
W M LeeUniversity of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.
A ReubenMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
Medical University of South Carolina · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USUniversity of Washington · USBaylor University Medical Center · USCalifornia Pacific Medical Center · USEinstein Medical Center Philadelphia · USEmory University · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USMayo Clinic · USMayo Clinic in Florida · USNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases · USNorthwestern University · USOregon Health & Science University · USSwedish Medical Center · USThe Ohio State University · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · USUniversity of Alberta · CAUniversity of California, Davis · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

Pilot & Feasibility ProgramP30DK043351 · NIDDK · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI RAYMOND T CHUNG · 1991 to 2026
$35.3M
A Multi-Center Study of Acute Liver Failure in AdultsU01DK058369 · NIDDK · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI DURKALSKI, VALERIE L, FONTANA, ROBERT J · 2005 to 2019
$27.4M
A MULTI-CENTER THERAPY TRIAL FOR ACUTE LIVER FAILURER01DK058369 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS SW MED CTR/DALLAS · PI LEE, WILLIAM M · 2000 to 2004
$4.2M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK043351NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK058369NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK058369
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAcute liver failure (ALF) is classically defined by coagulopathy and hepatic encephalopathy (HE); however, acute liver injury (ALI), i.e., severe acute hepatocyte necrosis without HE, has not been carefully defined nor studied. Our aim is to describe the clinical course of specifically defined ALI, including the risk and clinical predictors of poor outcomes, namely progression to ALF, the need for liver transplantation (LT) and death.

methods386 subjects prospectively enrolled in the Acute Liver Failure Study Group registry between 1 September 2008 through 25 October 2013, met criteria for ALI: International Normalized Ratio (INR)≥2.0 and alanine aminotransferase (ALT)≥10 × elevated (irrespective of bilirubin level) for acetaminophen (N-acetyl-p-aminophenol, APAP) ALI, or INR≥2.0, ALT≥10x elevated, and bilirubin≥3.0 mg/dl for non-APAP ALI, both groups without any discernible HE. Subjects who progressed to poor outcomes (ALF, death, LT) were compared, by univariate analysis, with those who recovered. A model to predict poor outcome was developed using the random forest (RF) procedure.

resultsProgression to a poor outcome occurred in 90/386 (23%), primarily in non-APAP (71/179, 40%) vs. only 14/194 (7.2%) in APAP patients comprising 52% of all cases (13 cases did not have an etiology assigned; 5 of whom had a poor outcome). Of 82 variables entered into the RF procedure: etiology, bilirubin, INR, APAP level and duration of jaundice were the most predictive of progression to ALF, LT, or death.

conclusionsA majority of ALI cases are due to APAP, 93% of whom will improve rapidly and fully recover, while non-APAP patients have a far greater risk of poor outcome and should be targeted for early referral to a liver transplant center.

Indexed as

RegistriesAdultAdverse Drug Reaction Reporting SystemsAlanine TransaminaseChemical and Drug Induced Liver InjuryData Interpretation, StatisticalFemaleHepatic EncephalopathyHumansInternational Normalized RatioMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSeverity of Illness IndexUnited StatesAlanine Transaminase

Identifiers

PMID28440304
PMCPMC5587371
OpenAlexW2607713342

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.