Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28438909›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2017

Interacting effects of land use and climate on rodent-borne pathogens in central Kenya.

Hillary S Young, Douglas J McCauley, Rodolfo Dirzo, Charles L Nunn, Michael G Campana, Bernard Agwanda, Erik R Otarola-Castillo, Eric R Castillo, Robert M Pringle, Kari E Veblen and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Rodent-Borne Parasites and Human Disease: A Growing Public Health Concern.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Molecular Detection ofVeterinary medicine international · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Wildlife susceptibility to infectious diseases at global scales.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Hillary S YoungDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA hillary.young@lifesci.ucsb.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0449-8582
Douglas J McCauleyDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA.
Rodolfo DirzoDepartment of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Charles L NunnDepartment of Evolutionary Anthropology, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9330-2873
Michael G CampanaCenter for Conservation Genomics, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, Washington, DC 20008, USA.
Bernard AgwandaMammal Section, National Museums of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Erik R Otarola-CastilloDepartment of Anthropology, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA.
Eric R CastilloDepartment of Human Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
Robert M PringleMpala Research Centre, Box 555, Nanyuki, Kenya.
Kari E VeblenMpala Research Centre, Box 555, Nanyuki, Kenya.
Daniel J SalkeldDepartment of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA.
Kristin StewardsonCenter for Conservation Genomics, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, Washington, DC 20008, USA.
Robert FleischerCenter for Conservation Genomics, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, National Zoological Park, Washington, DC 20008, USA.
Eric F LambinDepartment of Earth System Science and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Todd M PalmerMpala Research Centre, Box 555, Nanyuki, Kenya.
Kristofer M HelgenDivision of Mammals, National Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the effects of anthropogenic disturbance on zoonotic disease risk is both a critical conservation objective and a public health priority. Here, we evaluate the effects of multiple forms of anthropogenic disturbance across a precipitation gradient on the abundance of pathogen-infected small mammal hosts in a multi-host, multi-pathogen system in central Kenya. Our results suggest that conversion to cropland and wildlife loss alone drive systematic increases in rodent-borne pathogen prevalence, but that pastoral conversion has no such systematic effects. The effects are most likely explained both by changes in total small mammal abundance, and by changes in relative abundance of a few high-competence species, although changes in vector assemblages may also be involved. Several pathogens responded to interactions between disturbance type and climatic conditions, suggesting the potential for synergistic effects of anthropogenic disturbance and climate change on the distribution of disease risk. Overall, these results indicate that conservation can be an effective tool for reducing abundance of rodent-borne pathogens in some contexts (e.g. wildlife loss alone); however, given the strong variation in effects across disturbance types, pathogen taxa and environmental conditions, the use of conservation as public health interventions will need to be carefully tailored to specific pathogens and human contexts.This article is part of the themed issue 'Conservation, biodiversity and infectious disease: scientific evidence and policy implications'.

Indexed as

AgricultureClimate ChangeDisease VectorsRodentiaAnimalsConservation of Natural ResourcesKenyaPrevalencePublic HealthZoonosesdilution effectdiseasediversitylandscape ecologyland-use changesusceptible host regulation

Identifiers

PMID28438909
PMCPMC5413868

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.