Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28426306›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of public health2017

Machine Learning for Social Services: A Study of Prenatal Case Management in Illinois.

Ian Pan, Laura B Nolan, Rashida R Brown, Romana Khan, Paul van der Boor, Daniel G Harris, Rayid Ghani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of public health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Emergency department use and Artificial Intelligence in Pelotas: design and baseline results.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2023
    Article
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  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ian PanIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.
Laura B NolanIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.
Rashida R BrownIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.
Romana KhanIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.
Paul van der BoorIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.
Daniel G HarrisIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.
Rayid GhaniIan Pan is with the Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, RI. Laura B. Nolan is with the Population Research Center, School of Social Work, Columbia University, New York, NY. Rashida R. Brown is with the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley. Romana Khan is with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL. Paul van der Boor and Rayid Ghani are with the Center for Data Science and Public Policy, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL. Daniel G. Harris is with the Department of Human Services, Illinois State Government, Chicago.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo evaluate the positive predictive value of machine learning algorithms for early assessment of adverse birth risk among pregnant women as a means of improving the allocation of social services.

methodsWe used administrative data for 6457 women collected by the Illinois Department of Human Services from July 2014 to May 2015 to develop a machine learning model for adverse birth prediction and improve upon the existing paper-based risk assessment. We compared different models and determined the strongest predictors of adverse birth outcomes using positive predictive value as the metric for selection.

resultsMachine learning algorithms performed similarly, outperforming the current paper-based risk assessment by up to 36%; a refined paper-based assessment outperformed the current assessment by up to 22%. We estimate that these improvements will allow 100 to 170 additional high-risk pregnant women screened for program eligibility each year to receive services that would have otherwise been unobtainable.

conclusionsOur analysis exhibits the potential for machine learning to move government agencies toward a more data-informed approach to evaluating risk and providing social services. Overall, such efforts will improve the efficiency of allocating resource-intensive interventions.

Indexed as

Case ManagementAdultAlgorithmsFemaleHumansIllinoisMachine LearningModels, TheoreticalPregnancyPregnancy ComplicationsPrenatal CareRisk AssessmentSocial Work

Identifiers

PMID28426306
PMCPMC5425855

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.