Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28409212›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2017

Trajectories of glycaemia, insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion in South Asian and white individuals before diagnosis of type 2 diabetes: a longitudinal analysis from the Whitehall II cohort study.

Adam Hulman, Rebecca K Simmons, Eric J Brunner, Daniel R Witte, Kristine Færch, Dorte Vistisen, Satoyo Ikehara, Mika Kivimaki, Adam G Tabák

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 111 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Prediabetes.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025
    Review
  12. Phenotypic and Genetic Diversity in Diabetes Across Populations.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2025
    Review
  13. Article
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  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Adam HulmanDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Building 1260, Bartholins Allé 2, 8000, Aarhus C, Denmark. adam.hulman@ph.au.dk.
Rebecca K SimmonsDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Building 1260, Bartholins Allé 2, 8000, Aarhus C, Denmark. rks34@cam.ac.uk.
Eric J BrunnerDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, UK.
Daniel R WitteDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Building 1260, Bartholins Allé 2, 8000, Aarhus C, Denmark.
Kristine FærchSteno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Gentofte, Denmark.
Dorte VistisenSteno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Gentofte, Denmark.
Satoyo IkeharaDepartment of Hygiene and Public Health, Osaka Medical College, Osaka, Japan.
Mika KivimakiDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, UK.
Adam G TabákDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, UK.
Aarhus University · DKSteno Diabetes Center · DKUniversity College London · GBDanish Diabetes Academy · DKOsaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University · JPSemmelweis University · HU

Funding

Socio-economic status and heterogeneity in agingR01AG013196 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON INST OF NEUROLOGY · PI MARMOT, MICHAEL G, SINGH-MANOUX, ARCHANA · 1996 to 2013
$3.5M
Socioeconomic gradient in CHD in early old ageR01HL036310 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, MARMOT, MICHAEL G · 1986 to 2012
$3.1M
British Heart Foundation RG/07/008/23674British Heart Foundation RG/13/2/30098British Heart Foundation RG/16/11/32334Medical Research Council G0100222Medical Research Council G0601647Medical Research Council G0701830Medical Research Council G0902037Medical Research Council G1000616Medical Research Council G19/35Medical Research Council G8802774Medical Research Council MR/K013351/1NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL036310NIA NIH HHS R01 AG013196
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisSouth Asian individuals have reduced insulin sensitivity and increased risk of type 2 diabetes compared with white individuals. Temporal changes in glycaemic traits during middle age suggest that impaired insulin secretion is a particular feature of diabetes development among South Asians. We therefore aimed to examine ethnic differences in early changes in glucose metabolism prior to incident type 2 diabetes.

methodsIn a prospective British occupational cohort, subject to 5 yearly clinical examinations, we examined ethnic differences in trajectories of fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2 h post-load plasma glucose (2hPG), fasting serum insulin (FSI), 2 h post-load serum insulin (2hSI), HOMA of insulin sensitivity (HOMA2-S) and secretion (HOMA2-B), and the Gutt insulin sensitivity index (ISI

resultsCompared with white individuals, South Asians had a faster increase in FPG before diagnosis (slope difference 0.22 mmol/l per decade; 95% CI 0.02, 0.42; p = 0.03) and a higher FPG level at diagnosis (0.27 mmol/l; 95% CI 0.06, 0.48; p = 0.01). They also had higher FSI and 2hSI levels before and at diabetes diagnosis. South Asians had a faster decline and lower HOMA2-S (log CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationWe observed different trajectories of plasma glucose, insulin sensitivity and secretion prior to diabetes diagnosis in South Asian and white individuals. This might be due to ethnic differences in the natural history of diabetes. South Asian individuals experienced a more rapid decrease in insulin sensitivity and faster increases in FPG compared with white individuals. These findings suggest more marked disturbance in beta cell compensation prior to diabetes diagnosis in South Asian individuals.

Indexed as

AdultAsiaAsian PeopleBlood GlucoseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2EthnicityFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGlucose Tolerance TestHumansHyperglycemiaInsulinInsulin ResistanceInsulin SecretionLongitudinal StudiesMaleBlood GlucoseInsulinCohort studyEthnicityGlucoseGlycaemic trajectoryInsulinSouth Asia

Identifiers

PMID28409212
PMCPMC5487604
OpenAlexW2607059365

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.