Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28402385›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2017

Does Choice of Influenza Vaccine Type Change Disease Burden and Cost-Effectiveness in the United States? An Agent-Based Modeling Study.

Jay V DePasse, Kenneth J Smith, Jonathan M Raviotta, Eunha Shim, Mary Patricia Nowalk, Richard K Zimmerman, Shawn T Brown

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Channeling Patient Flow in China: An Agent-Based Model of Insurance Reimbursement and Hierarchical Care.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financing
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jay V DePasse
Kenneth J Smith
Jonathan M Raviotta
Eunha Shim
Mary Patricia Nowalk
Richard K Zimmerman
Shawn T Brown

Funding

MIDAS Informatics Services Group (ISG)U24GM110707 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI ESPINO, JESSI U, WAGNER, MICHAEL MATTHEW · 2014 to 2018
$11.6M
Future of influenza vaccine strategies given interference and choiceR01GM111121 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI SMITH, KENNETH J, ZIMMERMAN, RICHARD K · 2014 to 2017
$1.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM111121NIGMS NIH HHS U24 GM110707
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Offering a choice of influenza vaccine type may increase vaccine coverage and reduce disease burden, but it is more costly. This study calculated the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of 4 strategies: no choice, pediatric choice, adult choice, or choice for both age groups. Using agent-based modeling, individuals were simulated as they interacted with others, and influenza was tracked as it spread through a population in Washington, DC. Influenza vaccination coverage derived from data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was increased by 6.5% (range, 3.25%-11.25%), reflecting changes due to vaccine choice. With moderate influenza infectivity, the number of cases averaged 1,117,285 for no choice, 1,083,126 for pediatric choice, 1,009,026 for adult choice, and 975,818 for choice for both age groups. Averted cases increased with increased coverage and were highest for the choice-for-both-age-groups strategy; adult choice also reduced cases in children. In cost-effectiveness analysis, choice for both age groups was dominant when choice increased vaccine coverage by ≥3.25%. Offering a choice of influenza vaccines, with reasonable resultant increases in coverage, decreased influenza cases by >100,000 with a favorable cost-effectiveness profile. Clinical trials testing the predictions made based on these simulation results and deliberation of policies and procedures to facilitate choice should be considered.

Indexed as

Public HealthAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.ChildChild, PreschoolCost-Benefit AnalysisCost of IllnessEpidemiologic MethodsFemaleHealth ExpendituresHumansImmunization ProgramsInfantInfluenza Vaccinesagent-based modelingcost-effectivenessinfluenzainfluenza vaccinevaccine choice

Identifiers

PMID28402385
PMCPMC5411677

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.