Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28398353›Full record

ArticleNature communications2017

Past penguin colony responses to explosive volcanism on the Antarctic Peninsula.

Stephen J Roberts, Patrick Monien, Louise C Foster, Julia Loftfield, Emma P Hocking, Bernhard Schnetger, Emma J Pearson, Steve Juggins, Peter Fretwell, Louise Ireland and 8 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Southern Ocean seabird population shifts over the Holocene revealed by peat sequestration of mercury from guano.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. A global map of species at risk of extinction due to natural hazards.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Linking 19th century European settlement to the disruption of a seabird's natural population dynamics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Stephen J RobertsBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.
Patrick MonienInstitute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment (ICBM), Carl-von-Ossietzky-Str. 9-11, 26133 Oldenburg, Germany.
Louise C FosterBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.
Julia LoftfieldInstitute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment (ICBM), Carl-von-Ossietzky-Str. 9-11, 26133 Oldenburg, Germany.
Emma P HockingDepartment of Geography, Northumbria University, Ellison Building, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 8ST, UK.
Bernhard SchnetgerInstitute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment (ICBM), Carl-von-Ossietzky-Str. 9-11, 26133 Oldenburg, Germany.
Emma J PearsonSchool of Geography, Politics and Sociology, Newcastle University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7RU, UK.
Steve JugginsSchool of Geography, Politics and Sociology, Newcastle University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7RU, UK.
Peter FretwellBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.
Louise IrelandBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.
Ryszard OchyraInstitute of Botany, Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Lubicz 46, 31-512 Kraków, Poland.
Anna R HaworthBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.
Claire S AllenBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0938-0551
Steven G MoretonNERC Radiocarbon Facility (Environment), Scottish Enterprise Technology Park, Rankine Avenue, East Kilbride, Scotland G75 OQF, UK.
Sarah J DaviesDepartment of Geography and Earth Sciences, Aberystwyth University, Aberystwyth SY23 3DB, UK.
Hans-Jürgen BrumsackInstitute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment (ICBM), Carl-von-Ossietzky-Str. 9-11, 26133 Oldenburg, Germany.
Michael J BentleyDepartment of Geography, Science Laboratories, Durham University, South Road, Durham DH1 3LE, UK.
Dominic A HodgsonBritish Antarctic Survey (BAS), Natural Environmental Research Council (NERC), High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Changes in penguin populations on the Antarctic Peninsula have been linked to several environmental factors, but the potentially devastating impact of volcanic activity has not been considered. Here we use detailed biogeochemical analyses to track past penguin colony change over the last 8,500 years on Ardley Island, home to one of the Antarctic Peninsula's largest breeding populations of gentoo penguins. The first sustained penguin colony was established on Ardley Island c. 6,700 years ago, pre-dating sub-fossil evidence of Peninsula-wide occupation by c. 1,000 years. The colony experienced five population maxima during the Holocene. Overall, we find no consistent relationships with local-regional atmospheric and ocean temperatures or sea-ice conditions, although the colony population maximum, c. 4,000-3,000 years ago, corresponds with regionally elevated temperatures. Instead, at least three of the five phases of penguin colony expansion were abruptly ended by large eruptions from the Deception Island volcano, resulting in near-complete local extinction of the colony, with, on average, 400-800 years required for sustainable recovery.

Indexed as

FossilsIce CoverVolcanic EruptionsAlgorithmsAnimalsAntarctic RegionsGeographyIslandsModels, TheoreticalPopulation DynamicsSpheniscidaeTemperature

Identifiers

PMID28398353
PMCPMC5394244

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.