Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28395357›Full record

ArticleAnnals of internal medicine2017

Development of the SaFETy Score: A Clinical Screening Tool for Predicting Future Firearm Violence Risk.

Jason E Goldstick, Patrick M Carter, Maureen A Walton, Linda L Dahlberg, Steven A Sumner, Marc A Zimmerman, Rebecca M Cunningham

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of internal medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06582953 (Advancing the Evidence for HVIPs in the Southeast), which is not on this map. Cited by 50 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06582953 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Advancing the Evidence for HVIPs in the Southeast: Comprehensive Patient- Centered Outcomes & Stakeholder Insights

TypeinterventionalSponsorMedical University of South CarolinaRan2024 to 2027Enrolled220ConditionsFirearm Injury, Violence, PhysicalArmsTurning the Tide Violence Intervention Program (hospital violence intervention program)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Network analysis of risk factors for firearm assault.Journal of behavioral medicine · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Disparities in Pediatric Firearm Injury Care: A Comparison of Chronic Illness Pathways.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2026
    Article
  4. Characteristics Associated With Community Violence Prevention Programs in US Hospitals: A Cross-Sectional Survey Analysis.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Emergency department utilization by youth before and after firearm injury.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Firearm screening in pediatric patients.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2024
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jason E GoldstickFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.
Patrick M CarterFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.
Maureen A WaltonFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.
Linda L DahlbergFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.
Steven A SumnerFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.
Marc A ZimmermanFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.
Rebecca M CunninghamFrom University of Michigan School of Medicine and University of Michigan School of Public Health Ann Arbor, Michigan; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia; and Hurley Medical Center, Flint, Michigan.

Funding

Michigan Youth Violence Prevention Center Community Engagement and RevitalizationU01CE002698 · CE · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ZIMMERMAN, MARC A · 2015 to 2020
$7.2M
Substance Use Among Violently Injured Youth in an Urban ER: Services and OutcomeR01DA024646 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI CUNNINGHAM, REBECCA M. · 2009 to 2013
$2.9M
Measurement and Methodology for Daily Patterns of Drug Use and Related BehaviorsR01DA035183 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BUU, YUH-PEY ANNE, CUNNINGHAM, REBECCA M. · 2013 to 2017
$2.6M
M-Health to Decrease Youth Substance Misuse & High Risk Illegal Firearm BehaviorsK23DA039341 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI CARTER, PATRICK M. · 2016 to 2020
$969k
NCIPC CDC HHS U01 CE002698NIDA NIH HHS K23 DA039341NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA024646NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA035183
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInterpersonal firearm violence among youth is a substantial public health problem, and emergency department (ED) physicians require a clinical screening tool to identify high-risk youth.

objectiveTo derive a clinically feasible risk index for firearm violence.

design24-month prospective cohort study.

settingUrban, level 1 ED.

participantsSubstance-using youths, aged 14 to 24 years, seeking ED care for an assault-related injury and a proportionately sampled group of non-assault-injured youth enrolled from September 2009 through December 2011. MEASUREMENTS: Firearm violence (victimization/perpetration) and validated questionnaire items.

resultsA total of 599 youths were enrolled, and presence/absence of future firearm violence during follow-up could be ascertained in 483 (52.2% were positive). The sample was randomly split into training (75%) and post-score-construction validation (25%) sets. Using elastic-net penalized logistic regression, 118 baseline predictors were jointly analyzed; the most predictive variables fell predominantly into 4 domains: violence victimization, community exposure, peer influences, and fighting. By selection of 1 item from each domain, the 10-point SaFETy (Serious fighting, Friend weapon carrying, community Environment, and firearm Threats) score was derived. SaFETy was associated with firearm violence in the validation set (odds ratio [OR], 1.47 [95% CI, 1.23 to 1.79]); this association remained (OR, 1.44 [CI, 1.20 to 1.76]) after adjustment for reason for ED visit. In 5 risk strata observed in the training data, firearm violence rates in the validation set were 18.2% (2 of 11), 40.0% (18 of 45), 55.8% (24 of 43), 81.3% (13 of 16), and 100.0% (6 of 6), respectively. LIMITATIONS: The study was conducted in a single ED and involved substance-using youths. SaFETy was not externally validated.

conclusionThe SaFETy score is a 4-item score based on clinically feasible questionnaire items and is associated with firearm violence. Although broader validation is required, SaFETy shows potential to guide resource allocation for prevention of firearm violence. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institute on Drug Abuse R01024646.

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalFirearmsSurveys and QuestionnairesViolenceAdolescentHumansProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsWounds and InjuriesYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID28395357
PMCPMC5697901

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.