Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28388665›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2017

Dose-response relationships for environmentally mediated infectious disease transmission models.

Andrew F Brouwer, Mark H Weir, Marisa C Eisenberg, Rafael Meza, Joseph N S Eisenberg

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 93 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Modeling environmentally mediated rotavirus transmission: The role of temperature and hydrologic factors.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Research gaps and priorities for quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA).Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2024
    Article
  7. Review
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  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Agroecology influencesHeliyon · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Association between meteorological indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in Pakistan.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Andrew F BrouwerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-3779-5287
Mark H WeirDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6995-1037
Marisa C EisenbergDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-4221-830X
Rafael MezaDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1076-5037
Joseph N S EisenbergDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States of America.
University of Michigan · USThe Ohio State University · US

Funding

Modeling the Effects of the Environment on Enteric Pathogen DynamicsU01GM110712 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI EISENBERG, JOSEPH N. S. · 2014 to 2018
$3.0M
NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM110712
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Environmentally mediated infectious disease transmission models provide a mechanistic approach to examining environmental interventions for outbreaks, such as water treatment or surface decontamination. The shift from the classical SIR framework to one incorporating the environment requires codifying the relationship between exposure to environmental pathogens and infection, i.e. the dose-response relationship. Much of the work characterizing the functional forms of dose-response relationships has used statistical fit to experimental data. However, there has been little research examining the consequences of the choice of functional form in the context of transmission dynamics. To this end, we identify four properties of dose-response functions that should be considered when selecting a functional form: low-dose linearity, scalability, concavity, and whether it is a single-hit model. We find that i) middle- and high-dose data do not constrain the low-dose response, and different dose-response forms that are equally plausible given the data can lead to significant differences in simulated outbreak dynamics; ii) the choice of how to aggregate continuous exposure into discrete doses can impact the modeled force of infection; iii) low-dose linear, concave functions allow the basic reproduction number to control global dynamics; and iv) identifiability analysis offers a way to manage multiple sources of uncertainty and leverage environmental monitoring to make inference about infectivity. By applying an environmentally mediated infectious disease model to the 1993 Milwaukee Cryptosporidium outbreak, we demonstrate that environmental monitoring allows for inference regarding the infectivity of the pathogen and thus improves our ability to identify outbreak characteristics such as pathogen strain.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksDisease Transmission, InfectiousModels, BiologicalComputational BiologyCryptosporidiosisCryptosporidiumHumans

Identifiers

PMID28388665
PMCPMC5400279
OpenAlexW2604699013

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.