ArticleNature2017
Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production.
Article in Nature, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.
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Who cites it
44 citing papers in PubMed.
- Leaf COThe New phytologist · 2026Article
- Human-induced westerly jet shifts coordinate terrestrial productivity at the hemispheric scale.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Accelerated north-east shift of the global green wave trajectory.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Minimal impact of recent decline in CCommunications earth & environment · 2026Article
- Nonlinear response of vegetation productivity to climate change and human activities in a water-source basin: implications for environmental health and water security.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- The weak land carbon sink hypothesis.Science advances · 2025Review
- Water-use efficiency driven by water savings.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Monsoon rainfall trends and change point detection affecting kharif paddy ecosystems and gross primary productivity in Odisha.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A theoretical rethinking of ecosystem services from the perspective of social-ecological system.iScience · 2025Review
- Centennial-scale atmospheric COThe New phytologist · 2025Article
- Article
- Moisture legacy effects shape vegetation productivity across East Asia ecosystems, 2001-2020.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- The Chemistry of Phytoplankton.Chemical reviews · 2024Review
- Article
- Elevated COPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Characteristics and drivers of vegetation productivity sensitivity to increasing COEcology and evolution · 2024Article
- Higher global gross primary productivity under future climate with more advanced representations of photosynthesis.Science advances · 2023Article
- Isotopic clumping in wood as a proxy for photorespiration in trees.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- New constraints of terrestrial and oceanic global gross primary productions from the triple oxygen isotopic composition of atmospheric COScientific reports · 2023Article
- Article
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Growth in terrestrial gross primary production (GPP)-the amount of carbon dioxide that is 'fixed' into organic material through the photosynthesis of land plants-may provide a negative feedback for climate change. It remains uncertain, however, to what extent biogeochemical processes can suppress global GPP growth. As a consequence, modelling estimates of terrestrial carbon storage, and of feedbacks between the carbon cycle and climate, remain poorly constrained. Here we present a global, measurement-based estimate of GPP growth during the twentieth century that is based on long-term atmospheric carbonyl sulfide (COS) records, derived from ice-core, firn and ambient air samples. We interpret these records using a model that simulates changes in COS concentration according to changes in its sources and sinks-including a large sink that is related to GPP. We find that the observation-based COS record is most consistent with simulations of climate and the carbon cycle that assume large GPP growth during the twentieth century (31% ± 5% growth; mean ± 95% confidence interval). Although this COS analysis does not directly constrain models of future GPP growth, it does provide a global-scale benchmark for historical carbon-cycle simulations.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.