ArticlePLoS computational biology2017
Quantifying the roles of host movement and vector dispersal in the transmission of vector-borne diseases of livestock.
Article in PLoS computational biology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.
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Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed, 54 citations in OpenAlex.
- How host mobility formulations shape estimates of pathogen dispersal and epidemic risk in non endemic regions.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Knowledge mapping of risk mitigation measures against vector-borne diseases.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2026Article
- Effectiveness and equity of vaccination strategies against Rift Valley fever in a heterogeneous landscape.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- A Mechanistic Approach to Animal Dispersal-Quantifying Energetics and Maximum Distances.Ecology letters · 2025Article
- Schmallenberg virus epidemiology and regional control strategies: diagnostics, vaccines, and vector management.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2025Review
- Using the basic reproduction ratio to quantify transmission and identify data gaps for epizootic haemorrhagic disease virus.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Parasitic Characteristics of Ticks (Acari: Ixodidae) Collected from Water Deer (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024Article
- Genetic differentiation among Aedes aegypti populations from different eco-geographical zones of India.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- Host movement, transmission hot spots, and vector-borne disease dynamics on spatial networks.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022Article
- Risk-based serological survey of bluetongue and the first evidence of bluetongue virus serotype 26 circulation in Tunisia.Veterinary medicine and science · 2022Article
- Modelling cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints.Plant molecular biology · 2022Review
- Seroepidemiology of Crimean-Congo Haemorrhagic Fever among cattle in Cameroon: Implications from a One Health perspective.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022Article
- A Qualitative Risk Assessment for Bluetongue Disease and African Horse Sickness: The Risk of Entry and Exposure at a UK Zoo.Viruses · 2022Article
- Mechanistic movement models reveal ecological drivers of tick-borne pathogen spread.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021Article
- Scientific Opinion on the assessment of the control measures of the category A diseases of Animal Health Law:EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2021Article
- The Role of Movement Restrictions in Limiting the Economic Impact of Livestock Infections.Nature sustainability · 2019Article
- Long-term shifts in the seasonal abundance of adultThe Journal of applied ecology · 2019Article
- Neighbourhood contacts and trade movements drive the regional spread of bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV).Veterinary research · 2019Article
- Livestock host composition rather than land use or climate explains spatial patterns in bluetongue disease in South India.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- The effect of temperature, farm density and foot-and-mouth disease restrictions on the 2007 UK bluetongue outbreak.Scientific reports · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
The role of host movement in the spread of vector-borne diseases of livestock has been little studied. Here we develop a mathematical framework that allows us to disentangle and quantify the roles of vector dispersal and livestock movement in transmission between farms. We apply this framework to outbreaks of bluetongue virus (BTV) and Schmallenberg virus (SBV) in Great Britain, both of which are spread by Culicoides biting midges and have recently emerged in northern Europe. For BTV we estimate parameters by fitting the model to outbreak data using approximate Bayesian computation, while for SBV we use previously derived estimates. We find that around 90% of transmission of BTV between farms is a result of vector dispersal, while for SBV this proportion is 98%. This difference is a consequence of higher vector competence and shorter duration of viraemia for SBV compared with BTV. For both viruses we estimate that the mean number of secondary infections per infected farm is greater than one for vector dispersal, but below one for livestock movements. Although livestock movements account for a small proportion of transmission and cannot sustain an outbreak on their own, they play an important role in establishing new foci of infection. However, the impact of restricting livestock movements on the spread of both viruses depends critically on assumptions made about the distances over which vector dispersal occurs. If vector dispersal occurs primarily at a local scale (99% of transmission occurs <25 km), movement restrictions are predicted to be effective at reducing spread, but if dispersal occurs frequently over longer distances (99% of transmission occurs <50 km) they are not.
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