Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28362566›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of circumpolar health2017

Impact of air temperature variation on the ixodid ticks habitat and tick-borne encephalitis incidence in the Russian Arctic: the case of the Komi Republic.

N Tokarevich, A Tronin, B Gnativ, B Revich, O Blinova, B Evengard

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of circumpolar health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

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  16. Narrative Review on Health-EDRM Primary Prevention Measures for Vector-Borne Diseases.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Review
  17. Prevalence and climatic influence on hemoparasites of cattle and sheep in Mosul, Iraq.Journal of advanced veterinary and animal research · 2019
    Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

N Tokarevicha Laboratory of Zoonoses , St Petersburg Pasteur Institute , St Petersburg , Russia.
A Troninb Scientific Research Center for Ecological Safety , Russian Academy of Sciences , St Petersburg , Russia.
B Gnativc Center for Hygiene and Epidemiology of Komi Republic , Syktyvkar , Russia.
B Revichd Institute of Forecasting , Russian Academy of Sciences , Moscow , Russia.
O Blinovaa Laboratory of Zoonoses , St Petersburg Pasteur Institute , St Petersburg , Russia.
B Evengarde University Hospital , Umea University , Umea , Sweden.
Saint Petersburg Pasteur Institute · RUInstitute of Chemistry, Komi Science Center · RUInstitute of Economic Forecasting · RURussian Academy of Sciences · RUUmeå University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe causes of the recent rise of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) incidence in Europe are discussed. Our objective was to estimate the impact of air temperature change on TBE incidence in the European part of the Russian Arctic.

methodsWe analysed the TBE incidence in the Komi Republic (RK) over a 42-year period in relation to changes in local annual average air temperature, air temperature during the season of tick activity, tick abundance, TBE-prevalence in ticks, tick-bite incidence rate, and normalised difference vegetation index within the area under study.

resultsIn 1998-2011 in RK a substantial growth of TBE virus (TBEV) prevalence both in questing and feeding ticks was observed. In 1992-2011 there was 23-fold growth of the tick-bite incidence rate in humans, a northward shift of the reported tick bites, and the season of tick bites increased from 4 to 6 months. In 1998-2011 there was more than 6-fold growth of average annual TBE incidence compared with 1970-1983 and 1984-1997 periods. This resulted both from the northward shift of TBE, and its growth in the south. In our view it was related to local climate change as both the average annual air temperature, and the air temperature during the tick activity season grew substantially. We revealed in RK a strong correlation between the change in the air temperature and that in TBE incidence. The satellite data showed NDVI growth within RK, i.e. alteration of the local ecosystem under the influence of climate change.

conclusionsThe rise in TBE incidence in RK is related considerably to the expansion of the range of Ixodes persulcatus. The territory with reported TBE cases also expanded northward. Climate change is an important driver of TBE incidence rate growth.

Indexed as

IxodesTemperatureAnimalsArctic RegionsEcosystemEncephalitis, Tick-BorneHumansIncidencePlantsPrevalenceRussiaSeasonsTick BitesArcticclimate changeI. persulcatusKomi RepublicNDVITick-borne encephalitis

Identifiers

PMID28362566
PMCPMC5405447
OpenAlexW2603532050

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.