Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28356504›Full record

ArticleScience translational medicine2017

Using geospatial mapping to design HIV elimination strategies for sub-Saharan Africa.

Brian J Coburn, Justin T Okano, Sally Blower

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science translational medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Geospatial Genomics: Operationalizing Multilevel Conceptual Frameworks of Cancer Health Outcomes to Account for Gene-Person-Place Relationships.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2025
    Article
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  6. The Burden of Plastic Surgery in Rural Kenya: The Kapsowar Hospital Experience.Plastic and reconstructive surgery. Global open · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Improving the Efficiency of Geographic Target Regions for Healthcare Interventions.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
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  17. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Brian J CoburnCenter for Biomedical Modeling, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4852-4933
Justin T OkanoCenter for Biomedical Modeling, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2476-9370
Sally BlowerCenter for Biomedical Modeling, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. sblower@mednet.ucla.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-4342-3911

Funding

Optimal Strategies for HIV Treatment and Prevention in Sub-Saharan AfricaR01AI116493 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI BLOWER, SALLY MARGARET · 2015 to 2019
$2.7M
HIV - Emergence of Drug ResistanceR56AI041935 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI BLOWER, SALLY MARGARET · 2014 to 2014
$490k
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI116493NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI041935
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Treatment as prevention (TasP) has been proposed by the World Health Organization and the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) as a global strategy for eliminating HIV. The rationale is that treating individuals reduces their infectivity. We present a geostatistical framework for designing TasP-based HIV elimination strategies in sub-Saharan Africa. We focused on Lesotho, where ~25% of the population is infected. We constructed a density of infection map by gridding high-resolution demographic data and spatially smoothing georeferenced HIV testing data. The map revealed the countrywide geographic dispersion pattern of HIV-infected individuals. We found that ~20% of the HIV-infected population lives in urban areas and that almost all rural communities have at least one HIV-infected individual. We used the map to design an optimal elimination strategy and identified which communities should use TasP. This strategy minimized the area that needed to be covered to find and treat HIV-infected individuals. We show that UNAIDS's elimination strategy would not be feasible in Lesotho because it would require deploying treatment in areas where there are ~4 infected individuals/km

Indexed as

Disease EradicationGeographyAdolescentAdultDelivery of Health CareDemographyFeasibility StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansLesothoMaleMiddle AgedPoliticsPrevalenceYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID28356504
PMCPMC5734867

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.