Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28355063›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science & technology2017

Quantitative Adverse Outcome Pathways and Their Application to Predictive Toxicology.

Rory B Conolly, Gerald T Ankley, WanYun Cheng, Michael L Mayo, David H Miller, Edward J Perkins, Daniel L Villeneuve, Karen H Watanabe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental science & technology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 83 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
83citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

83 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Knowledge-Driven Approaches to Create the MTox700+ Metabolite Panel for Predicting Toxicity.Toxicological sciences : an official journal of the Society of Toxicology · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Review
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  7. Multimodal Cross-Attentive Graph-Based Framework for Predicting In Vivo Endocrine Disruptors.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
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  11. Article
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  13. Extrapolation steps in quantitativeCurrent research in toxicology · 2026
    Review
  14. Article
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  16. Article
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  18. Chemosensory tobacco product toxicology part 2: toxicological testing, assays, and state of the science.Toxicological sciences : an official journal of the Society of Toxicology · 2025
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Adverse Outcome Pathways Mechanistically Describing Hepatotoxicity.Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2025
    Article

23 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Rory B ConollyU.S. Environmental Protection Agency , Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Integrated Systems Toxicology Division, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-7201-1823
Gerald T AnkleyU.S. Environmental Protection Agency , Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Mid-Continent Ecology Division, Duluth, Minnesota 55804, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9937-615X
WanYun ChengU.S. Environmental Protection Agency , Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Integrated Systems Toxicology Division, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709, United States.
Michael L MayoEnvironmental Laboratory, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center , Vicksburg, Mississippi 39180, United States.
David H MillerU.S. Environmental Protection Agency , Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Mid-Continent Ecology Division, Grosse Isle, Michigan 48138, United States.
Edward J PerkinsEnvironmental Laboratory, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center , Vicksburg, Mississippi 39180, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1693-7714
Daniel L VilleneuveU.S. Environmental Protection Agency , Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Mid-Continent Ecology Division, Duluth, Minnesota 55804, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-2801-0203
Karen H WatanabeSchool of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Arizona State University , West Campus, Glendale, Arizona 85306, United States.

Funding

Intramural EPA EPA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A quantitative adverse outcome pathway (qAOP) consists of one or more biologically based, computational models describing key event relationships linking a molecular initiating event (MIE) to an adverse outcome. A qAOP provides quantitative, dose-response, and time-course predictions that can support regulatory decision-making. Herein we describe several facets of qAOPs, including (a) motivation for development, (b) technical considerations, (c) evaluation of confidence, and (d) potential applications. The qAOP used as an illustrative example for these points describes the linkage between inhibition of cytochrome P450 19A aromatase (the MIE) and population-level decreases in the fathead minnow (FHM; Pimephales promelas). The qAOP consists of three linked computational models for the following: (a) the hypothalamic-pitutitary-gonadal axis in female FHMs, where aromatase inhibition decreases the conversion of testosterone to 17β-estradiol (E2), thereby reducing E2-dependent vitellogenin (VTG; egg yolk protein precursor) synthesis, (b) VTG-dependent egg development and spawning (fecundity), and (c) fecundity-dependent population trajectory. While development of the example qAOP was based on experiments with FHMs exposed to the aromatase inhibitor fadrozole, we also show how a toxic equivalence (TEQ) calculation allows use of the qAOP to predict effects of another, untested aromatase inhibitor, iprodione. While qAOP development can be resource-intensive, the quantitative predictions obtained, and TEQ-based application to multiple chemicals, may be sufficient to justify the cost for some applications in regulatory decision-making.

Indexed as

AnimalsAromatase InhibitorsCyprinidaeEstradiolFadrozoleModels, TheoreticalPredictive Value of TestsVitellogeninsAromatase InhibitorsEstradiolFadrozoleVitellogenins

Identifiers

PMID28355063
PMCPMC6134852

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.