ArticleNature communications2017
A coupled human-Earth model perspective on long-term trends in the global marine fishery.
Article in Nature communications, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- The combined impact of fisheries and climate change on future carbon sequestration by oceanic macrofauna.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Predicting fisheries from albatross movements requires accounting for individual variability in interaction.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A database of mapped global fishing activity 1950-2017.Scientific data · 2024Article
- Temperature impacts on fish physiology and resource abundance lead to faster growth but smaller fish sizes and yields under warming.Global change biology · 2022Article
- The global ocean size spectrum from bacteria to whales.Science advances · 2021Article
- Estimating global biomass and biogeochemical cycling of marine fish with and without fishing.Science advances · 2021Article
- Marine wild-capture fisheries after nuclear war.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019Article
- Seasonal variability in global industrial fishing effort.PloS one · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The global wild marine fish harvest increased fourfold between 1950 and a peak value near the end of the 20th century, reflecting interactions between anthropogenic and ecological forces. Here, we examine these interactions in a bio-energetically constrained, spatially and temporally resolved model of global fisheries. We conduct historical hindcasts with the model, which suggest that technological progress can explain most of the 20th century increase of fish harvest. In contrast, projections extending this rate of technological progress into the future under open access suggest a long-term decrease in harvest due to over-fishing. Climate change is predicted to gradually decrease the global fish production capacity, though our model suggests that this is of secondary importance to social and economic factors. Our study represents a novel way to integrate human-ecological interactions within a single model framework for long-term simulations.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.