Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28329149›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2017

Prediction of Long-term Cognitive Decline Following Postoperative Delirium in Older Adults.

Elizabeth E Devore, Tamara G Fong, Edward R Marcantonio, Eva M Schmitt, Thomas G Travison, Richard N Jones, Sharon K Inouye

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 55 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Impact of CGA and Surgical Risk Calculator before elective cancer surgery on postoperative delirium in elderly patients.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
    Observational
  5. Article
  6. Postoperative delirium in patients with cancer: a narrative review of major risk factors.Sao Paulo medical journal = Revista paulista de medicina · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Clinical and intracranial electrophysiological signatures of post-operative and post-ictal delirium.Clinical neurophysiology : official journal of the International Federation of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Association of Subjective Cognitive Decline With Postoperative Complications Could Herald Dementia Risk.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2021
    Article
  17. Observational
  18. Article
  19. Time course of dementia following sepsis in German health claims data.Neurology(R) neuroimmunology & neuroinflammation · 2021
    Article
  20. Approaches to Optimize Medication Data Analysis in Clinical Cohort Studies.Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Elizabeth E DevoreChanning Division of Network Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Tamara G FongAging Brain Center, Institute of Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts.
Edward R MarcantonioAging Brain Center, Institute of Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts.
Eva M SchmittAging Brain Center, Institute of Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts.
Thomas G TravisonAging Brain Center, Institute of Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts.
Richard N JonesAging Brain Center, Institute of Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts.
Sharon K InouyeAging Brain Center, Institute of Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts.
Hebrew SeniorLife · USHarvard University · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · US

Funding

The Role of Inflammation in the Pathophysiology of Delirium and its Associated Long-Term Cognitive DeclineP01AG031720 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI INOUYE, SHARON K. · 2010 to 2022
$26.7M
READI-SET-GO: Researching Efficient Approaches to Delirium Identification - Sustaining Effective Translation to create Gero-friendly OrganizationsR01AG030618 · NIA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI DONNA Marie FICK, EDWARD R MARCANTONIO · 2008 to 2026
$7.9M
Development and Validation of a Delirium Severity ToolkitR01AG044518 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI INOUYE, SHARON K., JONES, RICHARD N · 2014 to 2024
$7.3M
Advancing the Understanding of Postoperative Delirium Mechanisms via Multi-OmicsR01AG051658 · NIA · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI TOWIA A. LIBERMANN, EDWARD R MARCANTONIO · 2016 to 2026
$5.9M
Mid-Career Mentoring Award for Patient-Oriented Research in AgingK24AG035075 · NIA · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI MARCANTONIO, EDWARD R · 2010 to 2021
$1.9M
K07 Leadership GrantK07AG041835 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI INOUYE, SHARON K. · 2013 to 2017
$656k
NIA NIH HHS K07 AG041835NIA NIH HHS K24 AG035075NIA NIH HHS P01 AG031720NIA NIH HHS R01 AG030618NIA NIH HHS R01 AG044518NIA NIH HHS R01 AG051658
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIncreasing evidence suggests that postoperative delirium may result in long-term cognitive decline among older adults. Risk factors for such cognitive decline are unknown.

methodsWe studied 126 older participants without delirium or dementia upon entering the Successful AGing After Elective Surgery (SAGES) study, who developed postoperative delirium and completed repeated cognitive assessments (up to 36 months of follow-up). Pre-surgical factors were assessed preoperatively and divided into nine groupings of related factors ("domains"). Delirium was evaluated at baseline and daily during hospitalization using the Confusion Assessment Method diagnostic algorithm, and cognitive function was assessed using a neuropsychological battery and the Informant Questionnaire for Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE) at baseline and 6-month intervals over 3 years. Linear regression was used to examine associations between potential risk factors and rate of long-term cognitive decline over time. A domain-specific and then overall selection method based on adjusted R2 values was used to identify explanatory factors for the outcome.

resultsThe General Cognitive Performance (GCP) score (combining all neuropsychological test scores), IQCODE score, and living alone were significantly associated with long-term cognitive decline. GCP score explained the most variation in rate of cognitive decline (13%), and six additional factors-IQCODE score, cognitive independent activities of daily living impairment, living alone, cerebrovascular disease, Charlson comorbidity index score, and exhaustion level-in combination explained 32% of variation in this outcome.

conclusionsGlobal cognitive performance was most strongly associated with long-term cognitive decline following delirium. Pre-surgical factors may substantially predict this outcome.

Indexed as

Postoperative ComplicationsAgedCognitive DysfunctionDeliriumFemaleHumansMalePrognosisProof of Concept StudyProspective StudiesRisk FactorsTime FactorsCognitionDeliriumElective surgeryRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID28329149
PMCPMC5861861
OpenAlexW2622543002

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.