Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28325538›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2017

Lifetime risk of a diagnosis of HIV infection in the United States.

Kristen L Hess, Xiaohong Hu, Amy Lansky, Jonathan Mermin, Hildegard Irene Hall

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 239 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
239citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

239 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Sexually Transmitted Infections Treatment Guidelines, 2021.MMWR. Recommendations and reports : Morbidity and mortality weekly report. Recommendations and reports · 2021
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179 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kristen L HessCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA. Electronic address: xgm0@cdc.gov.
Xiaohong HuCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Amy LanskyCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Jonathan MerminCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.
Hildegard Irene HallCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA.

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo estimate lifetime risk of receiving an HIV diagnosis in the United States if existing infection rates continue.

methodsWe used mortality, census, and HIV surveillance data for 2010 to 2014 to calculate age-specific probabilities of an HIV diagnosis. The probabilities were applied to a hypothetical cohort of 10 million live births to estimate lifetime risk.

resultsLifetime risk was 1 in 68 for males and 1 in 253 for females. Lifetime risk for men was 1 in 22 for blacks, 1 in 51 for Hispanic/Latinos, and 1 in 140 for whites; and for women was 1 in 54 for blacks, 1 in 256 for Hispanic/Latinas, and 1 in 941 for whites. By risk group, the highest risk was among men who have sex with men (1 in 6) and the lowest was among male heterosexuals (1 in 524). Most of the states with the highest lifetime risk were in the South.

conclusionsThe estimates highlight different risks across populations and the need for continued improvements in prevention and treatment. They can also be used to communicate the risk of HIV infection and increase public awareness of HIV.

Indexed as

AdultAge FactorsFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedRacial GroupsRisk FactorsSex FactorsSexual BehaviorUnited StatesYoung AdultHIVRiskSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID28325538
PMCPMC5524204

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.