Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28302164›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's research & therapy2017

Cost-effectiveness of cerebrospinal biomarkers for the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease.

Spencer A W Lee, Luciano A Sposato, Vladimir Hachinski, Lauren E Cipriano

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's research & therapy, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Cost-effectiveness of testing biofluid biomarkers to diagnose Alzheimer's disease: a systematic review.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Falls and Alzheimer Disease.Advances in geriatric medicine and research · 2024
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. State-of-the-art of lumbar puncture and its place in the journey of patients with Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2022
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Dementia in Latin America: Paving the way toward a regional action plan.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Biomarkers: Delivering on the expectation of molecularly driven, quantitative health.Experimental biology and medicine (Maywood, N.J.) · 2018
    Review
  18. Cost of diagnosing dementia in a German memory clinic.Alzheimer's research & therapy · 2017
    Article
  19. Diagnosis of Early Alzheimer's Disease: Clinical Practice in 2021.The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Spencer A W LeeIvey Business School, Western University, 1255 Western Road, London, ON, N6G 0N1, Canada.
Luciano A SposatoDepartment of Clinical Neurological Sciences, London Health Sciences Centre, Western University, London, ON, N6A 5A5, Canada.
Vladimir HachinskiDepartment of Clinical Neurological Sciences, London Health Sciences Centre, Western University, London, ON, N6A 5A5, Canada.
Lauren E CiprianoIvey Business School, Western University, 1255 Western Road, London, ON, N6G 0N1, Canada. lcipriano@ivey.uwo.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5568-4516
Western University · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate and timely diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) is important for prompt initiation of treatment in patients with AD and to avoid inappropriate treatment of patients with false-positive diagnoses.

methodsUsing a Markov model, we estimated the lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of cerebrospinal fluid biomarker analysis in a cohort of patients referred to a neurologist or memory clinic with suspected AD who remained without a definitive diagnosis of AD or another condition after neuroimaging. Parametric values were estimated from previous health economic models and the medical literature. Extensive deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the results.

resultsAt a 12.7% pretest probability of AD, biomarker analysis after normal neuroimaging findings has an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $11,032 per QALY gained. Results were sensitive to the pretest prevalence of AD, and the ICER increased to over $50,000 per QALY when the prevalence of AD fell below 9%. Results were also sensitive to patient age (biomarkers are less cost-effective in older cohorts), treatment uptake and adherence, biomarker test characteristics, and the degree to which patients with suspected AD who do not have AD benefit from AD treatment when they are falsely diagnosed.

conclusionsThe cost-effectiveness of biomarker analysis depends critically on the prevalence of AD in the tested population. In general practice, where the prevalence of AD after clinical assessment and normal neuroimaging findings may be low, biomarker analysis is unlikely to be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained. However, when at least 1 in 11 patients has AD after normal neuroimaging findings, biomarker analysis is likely cost-effective. Specifically, for patients referred to memory clinics with memory impairment who do not present neuroimaging evidence of medial temporal lobe atrophy, pretest prevalence of AD may exceed 15%. Biomarker analysis is a potentially cost-saving diagnostic method and should be considered for adoption in high-prevalence centers.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisAgedAged, 80 and overAlzheimer DiseaseBiomarkersDecision Support TechniquesHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalPrevalenceSensitivity and SpecificityBiomarkersAlzheimer’s diseaseCerebrospinal fluid biomarkersCost-effectiveness analysisNeuroimaging

Identifiers

PMID28302164
PMCPMC5356269
OpenAlexW2594937598

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.