Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28294081›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2017

Impacts of ambient temperature on the burden of bacillary dysentery in urban and rural Hefei, China.

J Cheng, M Y Xie, K F Zhao, J J Wu, Z W Xu, J Song, D S Zhao, K S Li, X Wang, H H Yang and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Temperature and risk of infectious diarrhea: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021
    Pooled it
  5. A review of the impact of outdoor and indoor environmental factors on human health in China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020
    Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Brain diseases in changing climate.Environmental research · 2019
    Review
  15. Exploring the Relevance of Green Space and Epidemic Diseases Based on Panel Data in China from 2007 to 2016.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

J ChengDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
M Y XieDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
K F ZhaoHefei Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Anhui Province,Hefei,Anhui 230061,China.
J J WuHefei Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Anhui Province,Hefei,Anhui 230061,China.
Z W XuSchool of Public Health and Social Work & Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology,Kelvin Grove,Brisbane,Qld. 4509,Australia.
J SongDepartment of Preventive Medicine,Bengbu Medical College,Bengbu,Anhui 233000,China.
D S ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
K S LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
X WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
H H YangDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
L Y WenDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
H SuDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics,School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University,Hefei,Anhui 230032,China.
S L TongSchool of Public Health and Social Work & Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology,Kelvin Grove,Brisbane,Qld. 4509,Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bacillary dysentery continues to be a major health issue in developing countries and ambient temperature is a possible environmental determinant. However, evidence about the risk of bacillary dysentery attributable to ambient temperature under climate change scenarios is scarce. We examined the attributable fraction (AF) of temperature-related bacillary dysentery in urban and rural Hefei, China during 2006-2012 and projected its shifting pattern under climate change scenarios using a distributed lag non-linear model. The risk of bacillary dysentery increased with the temperature rise above a threshold (18·4 °C), and the temperature effects appeared to be acute. The proportion of bacillary dysentery attributable to hot temperatures was 18·74% (95 empirical confidence interval (eCI): 8·36-27·44%). Apparent difference of AF was observed between urban and rural areas, with AF varying from 26·87% (95% eCI 16·21-36·68%) in urban area to -1·90% (95 eCI -25·03 to 16·05%) in rural area. Under the climate change scenarios alone (1-4 °C rise), the AF from extreme hot temperatures (>31·2 °C) would rise greatly accompanied by the relatively stable AF from moderate hot temperatures (18·4-31·2 °C). If climate change proceeds, urban area may be more likely to suffer from rapidly increasing burden of disease from extreme hot temperatures in the absence of effective mitigation and adaptation strategies.

Indexed as

Rural PopulationTemperatureUrban PopulationAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolChinaClimate ChangeDysentery, BacillaryFemaleHot TemperatureHumansIncidenceAmbient temperatureattributable fractionbacillary dysentery

Identifiers

PMID28294081
PMCPMC9203284

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.