Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28282392›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Predictive value of initial FDG-PET features for treatment response and survival in esophageal cancer patients treated with chemo-radiation therapy using a random forest classifier.

Paul Desbordes, Su Ruan, Romain Modzelewski, Pascal Pineau, Sébastien Vauclin, Pierrick Gouel, Pierre Michel, Frédéric Di Fiore, Pierre Vera, Isabelle Gardin

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Predictive value of clinical andScientific reports · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Paul DesbordesLITIS Quantif - EA4108, University of Rouen, Rouen, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1521-7590
Su RuanLITIS Quantif - EA4108, University of Rouen, Rouen, France.
Romain ModzelewskiLITIS Quantif - EA4108, University of Rouen, Rouen, France.
Pascal PineauDosisoft, Cachan, France.
Sébastien VauclinDosisoft, Cachan, France.
Pierrick GouelNuclear Medicine Department, Henri Becquerel Centre, Rouen, France.
Pierre MichelNormandie Univ, UNIROUEN, Inserm 1245, Rouen University Hospital, Department of Hepato-gastroenterology, Rouen, France.
Frédéric Di FioreDepartment of Oncology, Henri Becquerel Centre, Rouen, France.
Pierre VeraLITIS Quantif - EA4108, University of Rouen, Rouen, France.
Isabelle GardinLITIS Quantif - EA4108, University of Rouen, Rouen, France.
Laboratoire d'Informatique, du Traitement de l'Information et des Systèmes · FRInserm · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIn oncology, texture features extracted from positron emission tomography with 18-fluorodeoxyglucose images (FDG-PET) are of increasing interest for predictive and prognostic studies, leading to several tens of features per tumor. To select the best features, the use of a random forest (RF) classifier was investigated.

methodsSixty-five patients with an esophageal cancer treated with a combined chemo-radiation therapy were retrospectively included. All patients underwent a pretreatment whole-body FDG-PET. The patients were followed for 3 years after the end of the treatment. The response assessment was performed 1 month after the end of the therapy. Patients were classified as complete responders and non-complete responders. Sixty-one features were extracted from medical records and PET images. First, Spearman's analysis was performed to eliminate correlated features. Then, the best predictive and prognostic subsets of features were selected using a RF algorithm. These results were compared to those obtained by a Mann-Whitney U test (predictive study) and a univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis (prognostic study).

resultsAmong the 61 initial features, 28 were not correlated. From these 28 features, the best subset of complementary features found using the RF classifier to predict response was composed of 2 features: metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and homogeneity from the co-occurrence matrix. The corresponding predictive value (AUC = 0.836 ± 0.105, Se = 82 ± 9%, Sp = 91 ± 12%) was higher than the best predictive results found using the Mann-Whitney test: busyness from the gray level difference matrix (P < 0.0001, AUC = 0.810, Se = 66%, Sp = 88%). The best prognostic subset found using RF was composed of 3 features: MTV and 2 clinical features (WHO status and nutritional risk index) (AUC = 0.822 ± 0.059, Se = 79 ± 9%, Sp = 95 ± 6%), while no feature was significantly prognostic according to the Kaplan-Meier analysis.

conclusionsThe RF classifier can improve predictive and prognostic values compared to the Mann-Whitney U test and the univariate Kaplan-Meier survival analysis when applied to several tens of features in a limited patient database.

Indexed as

Positron-Emission TomographyAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsArea Under CurveChemoradiotherapyDisease-Free SurvivalEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleFluorodeoxyglucose F18Follow-Up StudiesHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsFluorodeoxyglucose F18Radiopharmaceuticals

Identifiers

PMID28282392
PMCPMC5345816
OpenAlexW2594533669

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.