Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28280865›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of public health2017

Diabetes incidence and projections from prevalence surveys in Samoa over 1978-2013.

Sophia Lin, Take Naseri, Christine Linhart, Stephen Morrell, Richard Taylor, Stephen T Mcgarvey, Dianna J Magliano, Paul Zimmet

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of public health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Assessing Knowledge on Gestational Diabetes Mellitus and Child Health.Hawai'i journal of health & social welfare · 2023
    Article
  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Sophia LinSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Take NaseriMinistry of Health, Apia, Samoa.
Christine LinhartSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Stephen MorrellSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Richard TaylorSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia. r.taylor@unsw.edu.au.
Stephen T McgarveyInternational Health Institute, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.
Dianna J MaglianoBaker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, Australia.
Paul ZimmetBaker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, Australia.
UNSW Sydney · AUBaker Heart and Diabetes Institute · AUBrown University · US

Funding

Integrated cellular, mouse and human research on a novel missense variant influencing adiposity in SamoansR01HL093093 · NHLBI · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI MCGARVEY, STEPHEN T. · 2009 to 2019
$8.2M
Science/Technical CoreP2CHD041020 · NICHD · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI ZHENCHAO QIAN · 2016 to 2026
$7.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL093093NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041020
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study estimates type 2 diabetes (T2DM) incidence in Samoans aged 25-64 years from sequential, irregularly spaced, cross-sectional population prevalence surveys.

methodsT2DM prevalence from eight population surveys conducted over 1978-2013 (n = 12,516) was adjusted for census region, sex, and 5-year age group to the nearest previous census. Annual T2DM incidence was calculated from adjusted prevalences (by sex), using birth cohorts constructed from age-period matrices. Projections of T2DM incidence to 2020 were estimated, based on various scenarios of population weight change using Poisson regression.

resultsOver 1978-2013, T2DM incidence was estimated to increase from 1.12 to 8.44 per 1000 person-years in men and from 2.55 to 8.04 per 1000 in women. Based on regression modeling, if mean population weight was stabilized from 2013, absolute incidence reductions of 0.9 per 1000 person-years (7% lower) are predicted in 2020, compared to the current period trend in weight gain.

conclusionsT2DM incidence can be calculated from irregularly conducted population risk factor surveys which may be useful in developing countries with limited resources.

Indexed as

AdultBody Mass IndexCross-Sectional StudiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceSamoaSurveys and QuestionnairesDeveloping CountryIncidencePacific IslandsPrevalenceSamoaType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID28280865
PMCPMC5487887
OpenAlexW2592979554

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.