Trial reportLancet (London, England)2017
Doxycycline versus prednisolone as an initial treatment strategy for bullous pemphigoid: a pragmatic, non-inferiority, randomised controlled trial.
Trial report in Lancet (London, England), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 90 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
90 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 212 citations in OpenAlex.
- Mortality risk and causes of death in exogenous Cushing's syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2026Pooled it
- Association between bullous pemphigoid and hypertension: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.Journal of human hypertension · 2025Pooled it
- Pemphigoid diseases in patients with end-stage kidney diseases: pathogenesis and treatment.Frontiers in immunology · 2024Pooled it
- Interventions for bullous pemphigoid.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023Pooled it
- Efficacy and safety of tetracyclines for pemphigoid: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Archives of dermatological research · 2022Pooled it
- Treatment of Bullous Pemphigoid in People Aged 80 Years and Older: A Systematic Review of the Literature.Drugs & aging · 2021Pooled it
- Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer (MASCC) 2020 clinical practice recommendations for the management of severe dermatological toxicities from checkpoint inhibitors.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2020Guideline
- Efficacy and safety of dupilumab in patients with moderate-to-severe bullous pemphigoid: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Anais brasileiros de dermatologiaPooled it
- Proinflammatory Cytokine Gene Polymorphisms in Bullous Pemphigoid.Frontiers in immunology · 2019Trial
- Doxycycline compared with prednisolone therapy for patients with bullous pemphigoid: cost-effectiveness analysis of the BLISTER trial.The British journal of dermatology · 2018Trial
- [New treatment options for autoimmune bullous diseases].Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026Review
- Article
- Shared Mechanistic Pathways in Bullous Pemphigoid, Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria, Prurigo Nodularis, and Chronic Prurigo of Unknown Origin: Implications for Targeted Therapies.American journal of clinical dermatology · 2026Review
- Bullous Pemphigoid Mimicking Infection in a Diabetic Foot: A Diagnostic Challenge.Plastic and reconstructive surgery. Global open · 2026Article
- The skin as a sentinel organ for neurodegeneration: An underrecognized target for dementia prevention.Intractable & rare diseases research · 2026Review
- Increased Mortality in Patients with Bullous Pemphigoid: A Nationwide Population-based Cohort Study of 5,738 Patients in Sweden.Acta dermato-venereologica · 2026Article
- Autoimmune Bullous Diseases: Therapeutic Update.Drugs · 2026Review
- Thematic Evolution and Diversification of Bullous Pemphigoid Research: A Bibliometric Analysis, 1959-2025.Clinical, cosmetic and investigational dermatology · 2026Article
- Bullous pemphigoid preceding the diagnosis of colorectal adenocarcinoma.Proceedings (Baylor University. Medical Center) · 2026Article
- Article
30 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Commented on by
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
14 authors at 11 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundBullous pemphigoid is a blistering skin disorder with increased mortality. We tested whether a strategy of starting treatment with doxycycline gives acceptable short-term blister control while conferring long-term safety advantages over starting treatment with oral corticosteroids.
methodsWe did a pragmatic, multicentre, parallel-group randomised controlled trial of adults with bullous pemphigoid (three or more blisters at two or more sites and linear basement membrane IgG or C3). Participants were randomly assigned to doxycycline (200 mg per day) or prednisolone (0·5 mg/kg per day) using random permuted blocks of randomly varying size, and stratified by baseline severity (3-9, 10-30, and >30 blisters for mild, moderate, and severe disease, respectively). Localised adjuvant potent topical corticosteroids (<30 g per week) were permitted during weeks 1-3. The non-inferiority primary effectiveness outcome was the proportion of participants with three or fewer blisters at 6 weeks. We assumed that doxycycline would be 25% less effective than corticosteroids with a 37% acceptable margin of non-inferiority. The primary safety outcome was the proportion with severe, life-threatening, or fatal (grade 3-5) treatment-related adverse events by 52 weeks. Analysis (modified intention to treat [mITT] for the superiority safety analysis and mITT and per protocol for non-inferiority effectiveness analysis) used a regression model adjusting for baseline disease severity, age, and Karnofsky score, with missing data imputed. The trial is registered at ISRCTN, number ISRCTN13704604.
findingsBetween March 1, 2009, and Oct 31, 2013, 132 patients were randomly assigned to doxycycline and 121 to prednisolone from 54 UK and seven German dermatology centres. Mean age was 77·7 years (SD 9·7) and 173 (68%) of 253 patients had moderate-to-severe baseline disease. For those starting doxycycline, 83 (74%) of 112 patients had three or fewer blisters at 6 weeks compared with 92 (91%) of 101 patients on prednisolone, an adjusted difference of 18·6% (90% CI 11·1-26·1) favouring prednisolone (upper limit of 90% CI, 26·1%, within the predefined 37% margin). Related severe, life-threatening, and fatal events at 52 weeks were 18% (22 of 121) for those starting doxycycline and 36% (41 of 113) for prednisolone (mITT), an adjusted difference of 19·0% (95% CI 7·9-30·1), p=0·001.
interpretationStarting patients on doxycycline is non-inferior to standard treatment with oral prednisolone for short-term blister control in bullous pemphigoid and significantly safer in the long-term.
fundingNIHR Health Technology Assessment Programme.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.