Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28279484›Full record

Trial reportLancet (London, England)2017

Doxycycline versus prednisolone as an initial treatment strategy for bullous pemphigoid: a pragmatic, non-inferiority, randomised controlled trial.

Hywel C Williams, Fenella Wojnarowska, Gudula Kirtschig, James Mason, Thomas R Godec, Enno Schmidt, Joanne R Chalmers, Margaret Childs, Shernaz Walton, Karen Harman and 4 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract readComparative StudyMulticenter StudyPragmatic Clinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Lancet (London, England), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 90 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
90citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
17.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

90 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 212 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Interventions for bullous pemphigoid.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Guideline
  8. Pooled it
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. [New treatment options for autoimmune bullous diseases].Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Bullous Pemphigoid Mimicking Infection in a Diabetic Foot: A Diagnostic Challenge.Plastic and reconstructive surgery. Global open · 2026
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Bullous pemphigoid preceding the diagnosis of colorectal adenocarcinoma.Proceedings (Baylor University. Medical Center) · 2026
    Article
  20. Article

30 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 11 institutions in 2 countries.

Hywel C WilliamsCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK. Electronic address: hywel.williams@nottingham.ac.uk.
Fenella WojnarowskaNuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Gudula KirtschigCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK; Institute of General Medicine and Interprofessional Care, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
James MasonWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Thomas R GodecMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit at University College London, London, UK.
Enno SchmidtDepartment of Dermatology, University of Lübeck, Lübeck, Germany.
Joanne R ChalmersCentre of Evidence Based Dermatology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Margaret ChildsNottingham Clinical Trials Unit, Nottingham Health Science Partners, Nottingham, UK.
Shernaz WaltonDermatology Department, Hull Royal Infirmary, Hull, UK.
Karen HarmanDermatology Department, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK.
Anna ChapmanDermatology Department, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Greenwich, London, UK.
Diane WhithamNottingham Clinical Trials Unit, Nottingham Health Science Partners, Nottingham, UK.
Andrew J NunnMedical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit at University College London, London, UK.
UK Dermatology Clinical Trials Network BLISTER Study Group
University College London · GBNottingham Biomedical Research Centre · GBMedical Research Council · GBLeicester Royal Infirmary · GBUniversity of Nottingham · GBHull Royal Infirmary · GBQueen Elizabeth Hospital · GBUniversity of Lübeck · DEUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Tübingen · DEUniversity of Warwick · GB

Funding

Department of Health HTA/06/403/51
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBullous pemphigoid is a blistering skin disorder with increased mortality. We tested whether a strategy of starting treatment with doxycycline gives acceptable short-term blister control while conferring long-term safety advantages over starting treatment with oral corticosteroids.

methodsWe did a pragmatic, multicentre, parallel-group randomised controlled trial of adults with bullous pemphigoid (three or more blisters at two or more sites and linear basement membrane IgG or C3). Participants were randomly assigned to doxycycline (200 mg per day) or prednisolone (0·5 mg/kg per day) using random permuted blocks of randomly varying size, and stratified by baseline severity (3-9, 10-30, and >30 blisters for mild, moderate, and severe disease, respectively). Localised adjuvant potent topical corticosteroids (<30 g per week) were permitted during weeks 1-3. The non-inferiority primary effectiveness outcome was the proportion of participants with three or fewer blisters at 6 weeks. We assumed that doxycycline would be 25% less effective than corticosteroids with a 37% acceptable margin of non-inferiority. The primary safety outcome was the proportion with severe, life-threatening, or fatal (grade 3-5) treatment-related adverse events by 52 weeks. Analysis (modified intention to treat [mITT] for the superiority safety analysis and mITT and per protocol for non-inferiority effectiveness analysis) used a regression model adjusting for baseline disease severity, age, and Karnofsky score, with missing data imputed. The trial is registered at ISRCTN, number ISRCTN13704604.

findingsBetween March 1, 2009, and Oct 31, 2013, 132 patients were randomly assigned to doxycycline and 121 to prednisolone from 54 UK and seven German dermatology centres. Mean age was 77·7 years (SD 9·7) and 173 (68%) of 253 patients had moderate-to-severe baseline disease. For those starting doxycycline, 83 (74%) of 112 patients had three or fewer blisters at 6 weeks compared with 92 (91%) of 101 patients on prednisolone, an adjusted difference of 18·6% (90% CI 11·1-26·1) favouring prednisolone (upper limit of 90% CI, 26·1%, within the predefined 37% margin). Related severe, life-threatening, and fatal events at 52 weeks were 18% (22 of 121) for those starting doxycycline and 36% (41 of 113) for prednisolone (mITT), an adjusted difference of 19·0% (95% CI 7·9-30·1), p=0·001.

interpretationStarting patients on doxycycline is non-inferior to standard treatment with oral prednisolone for short-term blister control in bullous pemphigoid and significantly safer in the long-term.

fundingNIHR Health Technology Assessment Programme.

Indexed as

Administration, OralAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAnti-Bacterial AgentsClinical Trials as TopicDoxycyclineEquivalence Trials as TopicFemaleGermanyGlucocorticoidsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPemphigoid, BullousPrednisoloneAnti-Bacterial AgentsDoxycyclineGlucocorticoidsPrednisolone

Identifiers

PMID28279484
PMCPMC5400809
OpenAlexW2575603189

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.