ArticleScientific reports2017
Major shifts at the range edge of marine forests: the combined effects of climate changes and limited dispersal.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.
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Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed.
- First Assessment of Genetic Diversity, Phylogeographic Relationships, and Population Structure of the Brown SeaweedEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Diel and tidal rhythms drive fish acoustic communities in a European kelp forest.BMC ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Oceanographic connectivity strongly restricts future range expansions of critical marine forest species.npj biodiversity · 2026Article
- Smaller plants in warmer water could have implications for future Kelp forests.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Global floating kelp forests have limited protection despite intensifying marine heatwave threats.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Projecting kelp (Ecklonia radiata) gametophyte thermal adaptation and persistence under climate change.Annals of botany · 2024Article
- Spatiotemporal variability in population demography and morphology of the habitat-forming macroalga Saccorhiza polyschides in the Western English Channel.Annals of botany · 2024Article
- A species distribution model of the giant kelpEcology and evolution · 2024Article
- Range map data of marine ecosystem structuring species under global climate change.Data in brief · 2024Article
- Rapid tropicalization evidence of subtidal seaweed assemblages along a coastal transitional zone.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Predicting the comprehensive geospatial pattern of two ephedrine-type alkaloids for Ephedra sinica in Inner Mongolia.PloS one · 2023Article
- Artificial intelligence convolutional neural networks map giant kelp forests from satellite imagery.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Kelp carbon sink potential decreases with warming due to accelerating decomposition.PLoS biology · 2022Article
- Fine-scale abundance of rocky shore macroalgae species with distribution limits in NW Iberia in 2020/2021.Biodiversity data journal · 2022Article
- Sexual Difference in the Optimum Environmental Conditions for Growth and Maturation of the Brown AlgaGenes · 2020Article
- A fine-tuned global distribution dataset of marine forests.Scientific data · 2020Article
- Thermal traits for reproduction and recruitment differ between Arctic and Atlantic kelp Laminaria digitata.PloS one · 2020Article
- Underpinning the Development of Seaweed Biotechnology: Cryopreservation of Brown Algae (Biopreservation and biobanking · 2019Article
- Phylogeographic diversification and postglacial range dynamics shed light on the conservation of the kelpEvolutionary applications · 2019Article
- Environmental heterogeneity mediates scale-dependent declines in kelp diversity on intertidal rocky shores.PloS one · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Global climate change is likely to constrain low latitude range edges across many taxa and habitats. Such is the case for NE Atlantic marine macroalgal forests, important ecosystems whose main structuring species is the annual kelp Saccorhiza polyschides. We coupled ecological niche modelling with simulations of potential dispersal and delayed development stages to infer the major forces shaping range edges and to predict their dynamics. Models indicated that the southern limit is set by high winter temperatures above the physiological tolerance of overwintering microscopic stages and reduced upwelling during recruitment. The best range predictions were achieved assuming low spatial dispersal (5 km) and delayed stages up to two years (temporal dispersal). Reconstructing distributions through time indicated losses of ~30% from 1986 to 2014, restricting S. polyschides to upwelling regions at the southern edge. Future predictions further restrict populations to a unique refugium in northwestern Iberia. Losses were dependent on the emissions scenario, with the most drastic one shifting ~38% of the current distribution by 2100. Such distributional changes might not be rescued by dispersal in space or time (as shown for the recent past) and are expected to drive major biodiversity loss and changes in ecosystem functioning.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.