ArticleScientific reports2017
Potential effects of climate change on geographic distribution of the Tertiary relict tree species Davidia involucrata in China.
Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed.
- Reconstructing the survival history of relict herbs endemic to the heavy snowfall regions of Japan during the Pleistocene.Journal of plant research · 2026Article
- Differential Performance of Distribution Shifts Between Endangered Coniferous and Broad-Leaved Tree Species in Subtropical China Under Climate Change.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- A Study on the Response Mechanism ofPlant direct · 2025Article
- The Past, Present, and Future Distribution ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Evaluating Past Range Shifts and Niche Dynamics of Giant Pandas Since the Last Interglacial.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Genomic vulnerability assessment reveals the potential benefits of adaptive introgression by mitigating the maladaptive risk of admixed populations.Forestry research · 2025Article
- Low levels of Al stimulate the aboveground growth of Davidia involucrata saplings.BMC plant biology · 2024Article
- Cryptic divergences and repeated hybridizations within the endangered "living fossil" dove tree (Plant diversity · 2024Article
- The effect of climate change on Arcto-Tertiary Mexican beech forests: Exploring their past, present, and future distribution.Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- Metabolome profiling of stratified seeds provides insight into the regulation of dormancy inPlant diversity · 2022Article
- Forecasting the combined effects of future climate and land use change on the suitable habitat ofEcology and evolution · 2022Article
- Assessing the geographical distribution of 76 Dendrobium species and impacts of climate change on their potential suitable distribution area in China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Article
- Twigs of dove tree in high-latitude region tend to increase biomass accumulation in vegetative organs but decrease it in reproductive organs.Frontiers in plant science · 2022Article
- Predicting range shifts ofEcology and evolution · 2021Article
- Historical migration and taxonomic entity of Korean endemic shrubAoB PLANTS · 2021Article
- From glacial refugia to hydrological microrefugia: Factors and processes driving the persistence of the climate relict treeEcology and evolution · 2021Article
- Natural Hybrid Origin of the Controversial "Species"Frontiers in plant science · 2021Article
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- Characterization of the complete chloroplast genome ofMitochondrial DNA. Part B, Resources · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
19 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This study, using species distribution modeling (involving a new approach that allows for uncertainty), predicts the distribution of climatically suitable areas prevailing during the mid-Holocene, the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), and at present, and estimates the potential formation of new habitats in 2070 of the endangered and rare Tertiary relict tree Davidia involucrata Baill. The results regarding the mid-Holocene and the LGM demonstrate that south-central and southwestern China have been long-term stable refugia, and that the current distribution is limited to the prehistoric refugia. Given future distribution under six possible climate scenarios, only some parts of the current range of D. involucrata in the mid-high mountains of south-central and southwestern China would be maintained, while some shift west into higher mountains would occur. Our results show that the predicted suitable area offering high probability (0.5‒1) accounts for an average of only 29.2% among the models predicted for the future (2070), making D. involucrata highly vulnerable. We assess and propose priority protected areas in light of climate change. The information provided will also be relevant in planning conservation of other paleoendemic species having ecological traits and distribution ranges comparable to those of D. involucrata.
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