Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28263225›Full record

ArticleSpine2017

Predictors of Long-term Opioid Use Following Lumbar Fusion Surgery.

Joseph Connolly, Zulqarnain Javed, Mukaila A Raji, Winston Chan, Yong-Fang Kuo, Jacques Baillargeon

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Spine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04964219 (Analgesic Effects of Low-dose S-ketamine in Patients Undergoing Major Spine Fusion Surgery), which is not on this map. Cited by 52 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
52citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
17.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04964219 phase4completednot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Analgesic Effects of Low-dose S-ketamine in Patients Undergoing Major Spine Fusion Surgery: A Double-blinded, Randomized Controlled Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorPeking University First HospitalRan2022 to 2025Enrolled164ConditionsS-ketamine, Postoperative Analgesia, Spine FusionArmsS-ketamine, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

52 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 128 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Posterior lumbar interbody fusion versus interspinous stabilization in lumbar spinal stenosis: a meta-analysis.European journal of orthopaedic surgery & traumatology : orthopedie traumatologie · 2026
    Pooled it
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  11. Purchases of analgesics before and after spine surgery - register based study of 152,829 Finnish patients with 15-year follow-up.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
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  15. The association between postoperative physical therapy and opioid prescription after posterior lumbar interbody fusion: a retrospective cohort study of United States academic health centers.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Article
  16. Prolonged opioid use after single-level lumbar spinal fusion surgery in a Belgian population: a multicentric observational study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2024
    Observational
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  19. Effect of surgery on the long-term use of opioids in patients with degenerative back disorders: a retrospective register-based study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2023
    Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Joseph ConnollyU.S. Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH.
Zulqarnain JavedDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Community Health, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX.
Mukaila A RajiU.S. Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH.
Winston ChanDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Community Health, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX.
Yong-Fang KuoU.S. Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH.
Jacques BaillargeonU.S. Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH.
The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston · USUnited States Air Force · US

Funding

UTMB Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR001439 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI URBAN, RANDALL J · 2015 to 2024
$40.0M
UTMB Clinical and Translational Science AwardKL2TR001441 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI AMEREDES, BILL T · 2015 to 2024
$4.0M
Pattern, Variation and Outcomes of Opioid Prescription in Older AdultsR01DA039192 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI KUO, YONG-FANG, RAJI, MUKAILA A · 2016 to 2023
$3.1M
UTMB Clinical and Translational Science AwardKL2TR000072 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI BRASIER, ALLAN R. · 2012 to 2014
$422k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000072NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR001441NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001439NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA039192
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

designA population-based retrospective cohort study.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to examine risk factors for long-term opioid use following lumbar spinal fusion surgery in a nationally representative cohort of commercially insured adults. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Opioid prescription rates for the management of low back pain have more than doubled in the US over the past decade. Although opioids are commonly used for the management of pain following lumbar spinal fusion surgery, to date, no large-scale nationally representative studies have examined the risk factors for long-term opioid use following such surgical intervention.

methodsUsing one of the nation's largest commercial insurance databases, we conducted a retrospective cohort study of 8377 adults, aged 21 to 63 years, who underwent lumbar spinal fusion surgery between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2012. Long-term opioid use was defined as ≥365 days of filled opioid prescriptions in the 24 months following lumbar fusion. Multivariable logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals for the risk of long-term opioid use following lumbar fusion.

resultsAfter adjusting for covariates, the following factors were associated with an increased risk of long-term opioid use following surgery: duration of opioid use in the year before lumbar surgery [Referent (0 days); Quartile 1 (1-22 days) OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.48-3.49; Quartile 2 (23-72 days): OR = 5.94, 95% CI = 4.00-8.83; Quartile 3: (73-250 days) OR = 25.31, 95% CI = 17.26-37.10; Quartile 4 (≥250 days) OR = 219.95, 95% CI = 148.53-325.71)], refusion surgery (OR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.02-1.72), and diagnosis of depression (OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.18-1.74). Receipt of anterior fusion was associated with a modest decrease in the risk of long-term opioid use (OR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.63-0.99).

conclusionThese findings may provide clinically relevant information to physicians, patients, and their families regarding the risk factors for opioid dependence following lumbar fusion surgery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

Indexed as

Analgesics, OpioidLow Back PainSpinal FusionHumansLumbosacral RegionOpioid-Related DisordersRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsAnalgesics, Opioid

Identifiers

PMID28263225
PMCPMC5582019
OpenAlexW2591979262

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.