Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28244498›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of gastroenterology2017

Active Surveillance Beyond 5 Years Is Required for Presumed Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms Undergoing Non-Operative Management.

Stefano Crippa, Raffaele Pezzilli, Massimiliano Bissolati, Gabriele Capurso, Luigi Romano, Maria Paola Brunori, Lucia Calculli, Domenico Tamburrino, Alessandra Piccioli, Giacomo Ruffo and 2 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of gastroenterology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Assessing Follow-Up Duration in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Patients.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025
    Article
  6. Pancreatic Cancer: A Review of Risk Factors.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Clinical and Molecular Attributes and Evaluation of Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasm.Biochimica et biophysica acta. Reviews on cancer · 2023
    Review
  11. Article
  12. State-of-the-Art Update of Pancreatic Cysts.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2022
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Mucinous Pancreatic Cysts: Comparison of Cyst Size and Location in Certain Mucinous Cyst Subgroups.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2021
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Stefano CrippaDepartment of Surgery, Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.
Raffaele PezzilliPancreas Unit, Department of Digestive System, Sant'Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Bologna, Italy.
Massimiliano BissolatiDivision of Transplant Surgery, San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Gabriele CapursoDigestive and Liver Disease Unit, S. Andrea Hospital, University Sapienza, Rome, Italy.
Luigi RomanoDepartment of Radiology, Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.
Maria Paola BrunoriDivision of Gastroenterology, Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.
Lucia CalculliDepartment of Radiology, Sant'Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Bologna, Italy.
Domenico TamburrinoDepartment of Surgery, Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.
Alessandra PiccioliPancreas Translational &Clinical Research Center, Division of Pancreatic Surgery, Università Vita-Salute, San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Giacomo RuffoDepartment of Surgery, Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.
Gianfranco Delle FaveDigestive and Liver Disease Unit, S. Andrea Hospital, University Sapienza, Rome, Italy.
Massimo FalconiDepartment of Surgery, Sacro Cuore-Don Calabria Hospital, Negrar, Verona, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo evaluate the results of active surveillance beyond 5 years in patients with branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) without worrisome features (WF) and high-risk stigmata (HRS) undergoing non-operative management.

methodsPatients with a minimum follow-up of 5 years who underwent surveillance with at least yearly magnetic resonance imaging were included. New onset of and predictors of WF/HRS during follow-up as well as long-term survival were analyzed.

resultsIn all, 144 patients were followed for a median of 84 months. At diagnosis multifocal BD-IPMNs were found in 53% of cases and mean size of the largest cyst was 15.5 mm. Changes during follow-up were observed in 69 patients (48%). New onset of WF/HRS were observed in 26 patients (18%) but the rate of HRS was only 4%. WF and HRS developed after a median follow-up of 71 and 77.5 months from diagnosis, respectively, and without previous changes in 19/26 patients. Independent predictors of WF/HRS development were size at diagnosis>15 mm, increase in number of lesions, main pancreatic duct growth rate ≥0.2 mm/year, cyst growth rate >1 mm/year. Overall, the rate of pancreatic invasive malignancy was 2% and the 12-year disease-specific survival was 98.6%.

conclusionsLong-term nonoperative management is safe for BD-IPMNs without WF and HRS. Discontinuation of surveillance cannot be recommended since one out of six patients developed WF/HRS far beyond 5 years of surveillance and without previous relevant modifications. An intensification of follow-up should be considered after 5 years.

Indexed as

Population SurveillanceAdenocarcinoma, MucinousAdenocarcinoma, PapillaryBiopsy, Fine-NeedleCarcinoma, Pancreatic DuctalCholangiopancreatography, Magnetic ResonanceDisease ProgressionEndosonographyFemaleHumansItalyMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedPancreatic DuctsPancreatic Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID28244498

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.