Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28225040›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2017

Vulnerability of the British swine industry to classical swine fever.

Thibaud Porphyre, Carla Correia-Gomes, Margo E Chase-Topping, Kokouvi Gamado, Harriet K Auty, Ian Hutchinson, Aaron Reeves, George J Gunn, Mark E J Woolhouse

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Bayesian nonparametric inference for heterogeneously mixing infectious disease models.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Thibaud PorphyreEpidemiology Research Group, Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.
Carla Correia-GomesEpidemiology Research Unit, Future Farming Systems, Scotland's Rural College, Inverness, Scotland, UK.
Margo E Chase-ToppingEpidemiology Research Group, Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.
Kokouvi GamadoBiomathematics &Statistics Scotland, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.
Harriet K AutyEpidemiology Research Unit, Future Farming Systems, Scotland's Rural College, Inverness, Scotland, UK.
Ian HutchinsonEpidemiology Research Unit, Future Farming Systems, Scotland's Rural College, Inverness, Scotland, UK.
Aaron ReevesEpidemiology Research Unit, Future Farming Systems, Scotland's Rural College, Inverness, Scotland, UK.
George J GunnEpidemiology Research Unit, Future Farming Systems, Scotland's Rural College, Inverness, Scotland, UK.
Mark E J WoolhouseEpidemiology Research Group, Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.
Scotland's Rural College · GBCentre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution · GBBiomathematics and Statistics Scotland · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust WT095831
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Classical swine fever (CSF) is a notifiable, highly contagious viral disease of swine which results in severe welfare and economic consequences in affected countries. To improve preparedness, it is critical to have some understanding of how CSF would spread should it be introduced. Based on the data recorded during the 2000 epidemic of CSF in Great Britain (GB), a spatially explicit, premises-based model was developed to explore the risk of CSF spread in GB. We found that large outbreaks of CSF would be rare and generated from a limited number of areas in GB. Despite the consistently low vulnerability of the British swine industry to large CSF outbreaks, we identified concerns with respect to the role played by the non-commercial sector of the industry. The model further revealed how various epidemiological features may influence the spread of CSF in GB, highlighting the importance of between-farm biosecurity in preventing widespread dissemination of the virus. Knowledge of factors affecting the risk of spread are key components for surveillance planning and resource allocation, and this work provides a valuable stepping stone in guiding policy on CSF surveillance and control in GB.

Indexed as

AnimalsClassical Swine FeverEpidemicsIndustryModels, TheoreticalRiskSwineUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID28225040
PMCPMC5320472
OpenAlexW2397622910

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.