Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28224191›Full record

ArticleInternational orthopaedics2017

Predicting the post-operative length of stay for the orthopaedic trauma patient.

Deepak Chona, Nikita Lakomkin, Catherine Bulka, Idine Mousavi, Parth Kothari, Ashley C Dodd, Michelle S Shen, William T Obremskey, Manish K Sethi

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in International orthopaedics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Is there a 'weekend effect' in elective lower limb arthroplasty?Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Deepak ChonaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
Nikita LakomkinDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
Catherine BulkaDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Idine MousaviDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
Parth KothariDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
Ashley C DoddDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
Michelle S ShenDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
William T ObremskeyDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA.
Manish K SethiDepartment of Orthopaedics, Vanderbilt Orthopaedic Institute Center for Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, 1215 21st Avenue South, Suite 4200, Medical Center East, South Tower, Nashville, TN, 37232, USA. manish.sethi@vanderbilt.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLength of stay (LOS) is a major driver of cost and quality of care. A bundled payment system makes it essential for orthopaedic surgeons to understand factors that increase a patient's LOS. Yet, minimal data regarding predictors of LOS currently exist. Using the ACS-NSQIP database, this is the first study to identify risk factors for increased LOS for orthopaedic trauma patients and create a personalized LOS calculator.

methodsAll orthopaedic trauma surgery between 2006 and 2013 were identified from the ACS-NSQIP database using CPT codes. Patient demographics, pre-operative comorbidities, anatomic location of injury, and post-operative in-hospital complications were collected. To control for individual patient comorbidities, a negative binomial regression model evaluated hospital LOS after surgery. Betas (β), were determined for each pre-operative patient characteristic. We selected significant predictors of LOS (p < 0.05) using backwards stepwise elimination.

results49,778 orthopaedic trauma patients were included in the analysis. Deep incisional surgical site infections and superficial surgical site infections were associated with the greatest percent change in predicted LOS (β = 1.2760 and 1.2473, respectively; p < 0.0001 for both). A post-operative LOS risk calculator was developed based on the formula: [Formula: see text].

conclusionsUtilizing a large prospective cohort of orthopaedic trauma patients, we created the first personalized LOS calculator based on pre-operative comorbidities, post-operative complications and location of surgery. Future work may assess the use of this calculator and attempt to validate its utility as an accurate model. To improve the quality measures of hospitals, orthopaedists must employ such predictive tools to optimize care and better manage resources.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansLength of StayMaleMiddle AgedOrthopedic ProceduresOrthopedicsPostoperative PeriodProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSurgical Wound InfectionUnited StatesWounds and InjuriesComplicationsCostInpatientResource allocation

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.