Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28203070›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2017

Determining prognosis in acute exacerbation of COPD.

Yves Flattet, Nicolas Garin, Jacques Serratrice, Arnaud Perrier, Jérome Stirnemann, Sebastian Carballo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 93 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Predictive Value of SAPS II for 28-Day All-Cause Mortality in AECOPD Patients Admitted to the ICU.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Yves FlattetDepartment of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva.
Nicolas GarinDepartment of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva; Service of Internal Medicine, Riviera Chablais Hospital, Monthey, Switzerland.
Jacques SerratriceDepartment of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva.
Arnaud PerrierDepartment of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva.
Jérome StirnemannDepartment of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva.
Sebastian CarballoDepartment of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva.
Geneva College · USHôpital Riviera-Chablais · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute exacerbations are the leading causes of hospitalization and mortality in patients with COPD. Prognostic tools for patients with chronic COPD exist, but there are scarce data regarding acute exacerbations. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors of death and readmission after exacerbation of COPD.

methodsThis was a retrospective study conducted in the Department of Internal Medicine of Geneva University Hospitals. All patients admitted to the hospital with a diagnosis of exacerbation of COPD between 2008 and 2011 were included. The studied variables included comorbidities, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) severity classification, and biological and clinical parameters. The main outcome was death or readmission during a 5-year follow-up. The secondary outcome was death. Survival analysis was performed (log-rank and Cox).

resultsWe identified a total of 359 patients (195 men and 164 women, average age 72 years). During 5-year follow-up, 242 patients died or were hospitalized for the exacerbation of COPD. In multivariate analysis, age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.05;

conclusionCOPD remains of ominous prognosis, especially after exacerbation requiring hospitalization. Baseline pulmonary function remains the strongest predictor of mortality and new admission. Demographic factors, such as age and comorbidities and notably diabetes and cancer, are closely associated with the outcome of the patient. Respiratory rate at admission appears to be the most prognostic clinical parameter. A prospective validation is, however, still required to enable the identification of patients at higher risk of death or readmission.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsComorbidityDisease ProgressionFemaleForced Expiratory VolumeHospitals, UniversityHumansLungMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisPatient ReadmissionPrognosisCOPDexacerbationprognosis

Identifiers

PMID28203070
PMCPMC5293360
OpenAlexW2585213054

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.